The MLB is back, and so are Home Run Props! The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cleveland Guardians at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday, April 1, with first pitch scheduled for 8:20 PM ET. It is the second game of the season for both clubs, and the matchup brings together one of baseball’s most dominant rosters against a Guardians team that quietly has the pitching to hang around in big games.
Guardians vs Dodgers Game Odds
Run Line: Guardians +1.5 (+102) / Dodgers -1.5 (-122)
Total: Over 8 (-105) / Under 8 (-115)
Moneyline: Guardians +224 / Dodgers -280
Los Angeles is a heavy favorite at home, and 93 percent of bets placed are on the Dodgers side. That is the kind of public lean that creates potential value on Cleveland at +224 on the moneyline, though the talent gap between these two rosters is real and the price reflects that.
The total set at 8 is relatively low given the firepower Los Angeles has in their lineup. The under at -115 suggests the market expects Yamamoto to be dominant early in the season, which is a reasonable assumption given how he pitched in last year’s postseason run.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Gavin Williams gets the ball for Cleveland in what is his second start of the young season. His 2025 campaign showed just how good his ceiling is. He posted a 3.06 ERA over 167 innings, going 7-1 with a 2.18 ERA in the second half after making a mechanical adjustment mid-season. The concern coming in is his walk rate. He issued 4.5 walks per nine innings last season, and in his Opening Day start against Seattle he allowed six walks in five innings despite punching out seven. If he is in his wild mode tonight, the Dodgers lineup will make him pay.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound for Los Angeles. He started Game 7 of last year’s World Series against Toronto and has been one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball since arriving in the majors. He is making his second start of the 2026 season and figures to be locked in against a Cleveland lineup that does not pose the same offensive threat as most of the Dodgers’ NL West rivals.
© Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn ImagesHome Run Props to Know
Here is the full board for tonight’s HR props:
Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR +208
Max Muncy (LAD) 1+ HR +330
Kyle Tucker 1+ HR +378
Freddie Freeman 1+ HR +399
Will Smith (LAD) 1+ HR +415
Mookie Betts 1+ HR +449
Teoscar Hernandez 1+ HR +445
Rhys Hoskins 1+ HR +487
Jose Ramirez 1+ HR +494
Andy Pages 1+ HR +565
Bo Naylor 1+ HR +710
Kyle Manzardo 1+ HR +640
Alex Freeland 1+ HR +650
Gabriel Arias 1+ HR +720
C.J. Kayfus 1+ HR +790
Oct 27, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani (17) celebrates after hitting a home run during the seventh inning against the Toronto Blue Jays in game three of the 2025 MLB World Series at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn ImagesFeatured Home Run Props
Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR +208
This is the number you come back to on any Dodgers home run prop slate. Ohtani hit 55 home runs last season, breaking his own Dodgers franchise record and winning his fourth MVP award. He is the most dangerous power hitter on the planet right now, and +208 reflects that. You are essentially getting better than 2-to-1 on a player who hit a home run in roughly one of every three games he played last season.
Gavin Williams has legitimate strikeout stuff, but his walk rate means he will be in hitter’s counts regularly. When Ohtani gets a pitch to drive, Dodger Stadium’s right-center gap is not forgiving for pitchers. This is the sharpest number on the board if you are making one HR prop bet tonight.
Jose Ramirez 1+ HR +494
Ramirez enters the 2026 season on the verge of becoming just the ninth player in MLB history to reach both 300 career home runs and 300 stolen bases. He is Cleveland’s entire offense, the player who makes the Guardians dangerous in any game regardless of the matchup. At nearly 5-to-1, this is a legitimate value play if you believe Cleveland can put some runs on the board against Yamamoto.
The counterpoint is that Yamamoto is one of the toughest pitchers in baseball to square up, and Ramirez will need a pitch to work with. But at this price, you only need him to connect once, and Ramirez has the kind of bat speed and pull-side power that can clear any wall when he gets extended.
May 15, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman (5), third baseman Max Muncy (13) and right fielder Mookie Betts (50) react during the game against the Minnesota Twins at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY SportsMax Muncy 1+ HR +330
Muncy already has one home run on the young season and is one of the better left-handed power hitters in the Dodgers lineup. He has hit 20-plus home runs in multiple seasons and is a known threat against right-handed pitching, which Gavin Williams is. At +330, Muncy offers a middle-ground price between Ohtani’s low odds and the longer shots further down the board. If you want Dodgers power exposure beyond Ohtani, this is the cleaner play.
Responsible Gambling and Bankroll Management
Home run props are among the highest-variance bet types in baseball because even elite power hitters fail to go deep in the majority of their games. Treat these as small, supplemental bets rather than the anchor of your wagering for the night. Set a clear budget before you place anything and do not stack a large number of these together expecting them all to hit.
If gambling ever feels difficult to manage, free and confidential support is available at ncpgambling.org. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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