Miami (OH) has been the talk of the college basketball season as the RedHawks finished the regular season undefeated at 31-0. Despite that record, there’s been some debate about whether or not they would be able to earn an at-large bid if they lost in the MAC Tournament.
On Thursday, that happened as UMass knocked off the RedHawks 87-83 in the quarterfinal round of the MAC tournament.
We will have a BID STEALER out of the MAC!Frank Martin and UMass stun Miami (OH) in Cleveland.Redhawks are now 31-1 and could be headed to Dayton.The Minutemen are just TWO WINS away from the NCAA Tournament.This is ******* March.
— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 12, 2026Per the latest odds on Kalshi, Miami (OH) has about a 75% chance to reach the round of 64:
Prediction Markets NCAA Tournament Round of 64 Qualifiers? Learn more about Prediction Markets Kalshi High Point 99% TCU 98% Texas A&M 93% North Carolina St. 90% Miami (OH) 75% Stephen F. Austin 71% Yale 56% Texas 43% Auburn 16% Indiana 1% PredictWhile it will be a stressful next 72 hours for the Redhawks and coach Travis Steele, there are a few numbers that should give the team some confidence it will still make the NCAA Tournament. The selection committee has never left out a team that has won at least 29 games in the regular season. The RedHawks will be 31-1 on Selection Sunday.
Not only does the RedHawks losing hurt the team, but it also hurts the other bubble teams across college basketball looking to get in as an at-large selection. The MAC now has the potential to be a 2-bid league.
There is still a lot to be decided over the next three days, but the biggest story of the regular season will now have to wait and see if they are dancing on Sunday.
Miami (OH) suffers first loss of season in stunning upset Saturday Down South.
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