WASHINGTON, DC – For every camel’s back, there is always a straw. Over the weekend, it came in the form of Donald Trump’s threat to impose escalating tariffs on Greenland on the UK, Denmark and six European allies.
Among Nato members, the US President’s tariff bluster was correctly interpreted as a “dangerous downward spiral” for the transatlantic alliance. At No 10, the tariffs represent a significant blow to the Prime Minister’s seemingly limitless efforts to accommodate an obstreperous and untrustworthy US leader.
But at home in America, some Republicans are now arguing that Trump’s bellicose overreach may end up costing him his presidency.
The weekend’s threats reveal the extent to which Trump views tariffs as the main weapon in his presidential arsenal. For him, the imposition of trading duties is not connected only to trade and economic policy. Tariffs lie at the heart of his national security strategy. Cross him over Greenland or anything else, and he’ll impose them. Throw blandishments in his direction – a letter from the King, or the gold bar that the Swiss placed with a flourish on the Resolute Desk in the Oval Office – and things might, temporarily, go your way.
But at the first sign of contention, tariffs – not targeted diplomatic sanctions – are Trump’s blunderbuss of choice, despite the fact that when he imposes them, the scattershot hits the American people in their own pockets. Wise Americans are stocking up now on French wine, Scotch single malts, Land Rovers, and Danish-produced Ozempic before the prices in America soar once again.
Wise Republicans, meanwhile, are bailing. On Capitol Hill, the US President’s threat to target his European allies over their refusal to gift him Greenland sparked fury among some members of his own party. Congressman Don Bacon of Nebraska branded the tariffs “foolish policy … we sound too much like Putin and it’s wrong”. Last week, he warned that any effort to seize Greenland militarily “would be the end of the administration” and lead to fresh efforts to impeach the US President for a third time.
Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina said Trump’s announced tariffs were “bad for America, bad for American businesses and bad for America’s allies”, but “great for Putin, Xi and other adversaries who want to see Nato divided”. He also warned Trump’s actions were undermining his presidency, adding: “The fact that a small handful of ‘advisors’ are actively pushing for coercive action to seize territory of an ally is beyond stupid.”
Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska called the tariffs “unnecessary, punitive and a profound mistake”.
They may also be illegal. Washington remains on the edge of its collective seat, awaiting an opinion from the US Supreme Court regarding Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs implemented last April.
Congress typically has the sole power to set tariffs, but the so-called “reciprocal” duties (which are not reciprocal at all) were implemented by the US President under national security emergency laws.
It is possible that a majority of Supreme Court justices will decree that move unconstitutional within days. Only last week, Trump warned the court that “if the Supreme Court rules against the United States of America on this National Security bonanza, WE’RE SCREWED!”
And indeed, he would be.
The United States would face immediate legal action by US importers seeking refunds of all the duties charged since last April. Depending on the wording of the court’s ruling, the Greenland-related tariffs may also be effectively struck down. And while Trump’s top economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, insists the White House has developed “a back-up plan that’s really solid”, a loss at the Supreme Court will further shake the blind faith many Republican lawmakers have placed in their leader.
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On Sunday, Trump insiders were still circling the wagons. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent insisted on NBC News that “peace through strength” requires Greenland to become “part of the United States”. He accused European leaders of “projecting weakness”.
But the real weakness may prove to lie in the floorboards beneath Trump’s presidency. Rot is setting in, with 58 per cent of the public telling a new CNN poll that the US President’s first year back in power has been a failure. Seventy-five per cent of respondents said they opposed seizing Greenland by force.
With Nato allies uniting against him and even the Prime Minister finding the fortitude to declare Trump’s tariffs “completely wrong”, the US President has created a sticky wicket for himself. The Supreme Court and Trump’s fellow Republicans may be on track to bowl him out.
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