Throughout Premier League history, being bottom at Christmas has generally been followed by relegation. It’s looking pretty bleak for Wolves, so do they have any hope of survival?
Wolverhampton Wanderers have the dubious honour of being bottom of the Premier League table on Christmas Day 2025. In truth, it had already been a mathematical certainty for some time, but with Christmas week now upon us, that realisation will have set in for some.
It’s been an awful campaign for Wolves, who’ve managed to accumulate just two points in 17 games and equal the longest winless start to a Premier League season.
Saturday’s home defeat to Brentford meant they matched Sheffield United’s bleak start to 2020-21, and failure to beat Liverpool at Anfield on 27 December will see them make the outright worst winless start to a Premier League campaign (18 games).
As such, their chances of avoiding the drop to the Championship this season are unsurprisingly miniscule.
Being bottom at Christmas is not a guarantee of anything, granted, and saying around the halfway point of a campaign that the poorest team in the league looks likeliest to be relegated is hardly a hot take. However, it has traditionally been seen as a fairly accurate indicator of a team’s end-of-season fate.
But Wolves have done it before, escaping Premier League relegation despite being bottom at this time of year, so what does it actually mean to be bottom of the table on Christmas Day?
Well, before we dig into that, here’s the list of every team who have been bottom of the table at Christmas…
Teams to be Bottom of the Premier League on Christmas Day
1992: Nottingham Forest finished 22nd (relegated)1993: Swindon Town finished 22nd (relegated)1994: Ipswich Town finished 22nd (relegated)1995: Bolton Wanderers finished 20th (relegated)1996: Nottingham Forest finished 20th (relegated)1997: Barnsley finished 19th (relegated)1998: Nottingham Forest finished 20th (relegated)1999: Sheffield Wednesday finished 19th (relegated)2000: Bradford City finished 20th (relegated)2001: Ipswich Town finished 18th (relegated)2002: West Ham finished 18th (relegated)2003: Wolves finished 20th (relegated)2004: West Brom finished 17th (survived)2005: Sunderland finished 20th (relegated)2006: Watford finished 20th (relegated)2007: Derby County finished 20th (relegated)2008: West Brom finished 20th (relegated)2009: Portsmouth finished 20th (relegated)2010: West Ham finished 20th (relegated)2011: Blackburn Rovers finished 19th (relegated)2012: Reading finished 19th (relegated)2013: Sunderland finished 14th (survived)2014: Leicester City finished 14th (survived)2015: Aston Villa finished 20th (relegated)2016: Hull City finished 18th (relegated)2017: Swansea City finished 18th (relegated)2018: Fulham finished 19th (relegated)2019: Watford finished 19th (relegated)2020: Sheffield United finished 20th (relegated)2021: Norwich City finished 20th (relegated)2022: Wolves finished 13th (survived)2023: Sheffield United finished 20th (relegated)2024: Southampton finished 20th (relegated)2025: Wolves
Overall, four teams have managed to retain their Premier League status despite having propped up the table at Christmas.
The most famous example was West Brom in 2004-05; they were the first team in Premier League history to stave off relegation after being rock-bottom on 25 December.
Until then, it was practically seen as a given that you’d go down if you were bottom on Christmas Day, but Bryan Robson’s Baggies pulled off what at the time was dubbed the ‘Great Escape’ on the final day of the season.
On Christmas Day 2004, West Brom were eight points from safety, and their outlook was bleak.
Of course, it wasn’t like their escape was especially emphatic; their 34 points in 2004-05 remains the lowest tally any Premier League team have recorded without being relegated. But they cared little as relegation was somehow avoided.
Since then, West Brom of 2004-05 have always been held up as potential inspiration for any team bottom at Christmas, though it took another nine years for anyone else to repeat the feat.
Sunderland were bottom on 25 December 2013, and although a run in early 2014 briefly brought them as high as 14th, they found themselves in deep trouble heading into their final five matches.
They then proceeded to do what no one expected: win some games. Four victories on the bounce fired them back up to 14th ahead of the final matchday of the season, meaning they could afford to lose 3-1 at home to Swansea City and still finish four places above the bottom three.
Leicester City copied Sunderland the following year. The Foxes, back in the Premier League for the first time in a decade, spent 19 matchdays at the foot of the table between November and April but then won seven of their final nine matches to ultimately survive with relative ease.
And it was just as well, too. Had they not avoided the drop, we never would’ve been treated to the remarkable drama of 2015-16, when Leicester defied all odds and expectations to astonishingly win the Premier League.
Wolves are the only other team to avoid relegation after being bottom at Christmas. A dire start to 2022-23 under Bruno Lage left them facing the prospect of heading back to the Championship, and Julen Lopetegui struggled to turn things around at first after being appointed in November 2022.
But he eventually led them to a 13th-place finish, which is the highest any Premier League team has concluded a season after being bottom at Christmas.
Although there have been four instances for Wolves to draw some optimism from, the fact of the matter is 88% of teams to be in last place on Christmas Day in Premier League history have failed to turn their fortunes around.
It’s also worth bearing in mind that each of the four teams to pull off such unlikely escapes have managed to tally 10 points by Christmas – Wolves have just two.
Only Sheffield United (two in 2020-21) have won as few points by Christmas – though in the Blades’ defence, the 2020-21 season did start slightly later than normal because of the COVID-19 pandemic, so they had fewer games before 25 December.
Essentially, Wolves’ chances of being in the Premier League next season are remote.
But how’s this for an optimistic outlook? A quarter of the teams who’ve avoided relegation after being bottom at Christmas have gone on to win the Premier League the next season.
Wolves to be 2026-27 Premier League champions? You heard it here first…
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