Overlapping Cubs-Mets Interests, Fairbanks Price Tag, and Other Cubs Bullets ...Middle East

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Overlapping Cubs-Mets Interests, Fairbanks Price Tag, and Other Cubs Bullets

The kids are collectively old enough now that it’s been a minute since I had to clean up a massive puke. I guess they just wanted to make sure I wasn’t rusty …

On the one hand – fan attachment, mostly – I can understand why there is so much concern and frustration in New York about the Mets failing to re-sign Pete Alonso and Edwin Diaz, and trading away Brandon Nimmo. They were at the heart of the team for a long time, and bringing in Marcus Semien and Jorge Polanco is not going to feel the same. On the other hand, that was a team that wildly underperformed expectations, especially this past season. Is it really so outrageous for the organization to be willing to turn things over in a very significant way? Especially when the alternative would’ve been an even more expensive group of the same, but older, players? Now, that said, I do recognize that the Mets have to replace the lost talent projection, and it’s VERY fair for observers to hold them to account on that front (not unlike with the Cubs, who still have a perfectly plausible good offseason available ahead of them … but they have to ACTUALLY do it). I don’t think David Stearns and Steve Cohen are going to sit tight, as today’s Polanco move shows. I keep looking at their on-paper needs, thinking that they are probably going to be a big problem for the Cubs in the starting pitcher and later-inning relief pitcher markets, at least in free agency. I worry a bit that the Cubs are competing with the Mets, for example, on both Michael King and Tatsuya Imai, and I don’t have a lot of confidence about them winning a bidding war against a slightly-up-against-a-wall Cohen. Indeed, the Cubs and Mets have maybe been the two most frequently/prominently mentioned suitors on those two starters. (Or will the Mets just pair up with the Padres on some crazy trades to address their needs?) A side note on Pete Alonso from The Athletic: a couple years ago, he famously turned down a seven-year, $158 million extension offer from the Mets. It looked for a couple years like that was going to have been a massive mistake. Well, add up his final year of arbitration, his one-year return to the Mets, and now his new deal with the Orioles, and he effectively got $205.5 million for that same period of time. He bet on himself in a big way, and wound up blowing away the original Mets offer. That same Athletic piece has a stray rumor about the Brewers looking to trade from their outfield depth to pick up an optionable reliever, which seems so specific as to be something that has already made some progress. Makes sense for them – they get an unexpected breakout from Isaac Collins, for example, and now they can cash in on some significant value going forward, when they themselves may not have full-time ABs for him in 2026. Must be nice to have an outfielder trade chip in this market! I keep thinking about how the Rays bought out Pete Fairbanks for $1 million rather than pick up his $11 million option at the start of the offseason. That means they guessed his value on the market was going to be $10 million or less on a one-year deal (or a cheaper two-year deal, etc.). Given what Kyle Finnegan and Emilio Pagan got (roughly two years at that same AAV), and if it feels like Fairbanks is in that tier or better (where the relievers have been getting quite a bit more), there are only two possibilities. Either Rays COMPLETELY misread the market and wasted an opportunity to have an extremely valuable trade chip, or Fairbanks simply isn’t valued as well as those other guys going forward. I do think the strikeout rate decline the last two years could be a risk factor for teams, as he’s become more of a very good contact manager than a true whiff artist. Teams generally don’t love guys like that at the back of their bullpen, where a dinger can sink the whole thing. And his HR/9 has steadily climbed the last four years. Maybe this is all why he’s still on the board while most of the other late-inning guys have now signed. Cubs do love them some contact-managers, though, and if the Rays weren’t wrong about Fairbanks’ price tag, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Cubs were lingering with a pricey one-year offer, hoping to make Fairbanks this year’s Ryan Pressly or Hector Neris (but, um, you know, actually working out). For what it’s worth, MLBTR projected 2/$18M for Fairbanks, while FanGraphs didn’t have him in their top-50 free agents at all. The Rangers were one of the few teams even remotely close to the Cubs’ 40-man paucity, but after their trio of moves last night are finalized, their 40-man roster will jump to 38. The Cubs, even after the Hoby Milner signing, are at 32(!). The Blue Jays now have just about the two most-extreme arm-angle pitchers in baseball:

Trey Yesavage into Tyler Rogers is going to be so jarring for batters pic.twitter.com/lHHnVbynSQ

    — Thomas Nestico (@TJStats) December 13, 2025 Under 10 days now for Munetaka Murakami to sign, and outside of a couple stray mentions, the Cubs aren’t really in the rumors:

    Teams that have interest in Munetaka Murakami, per @jonmorosi:– Boston Red Sox– Seattle Mariners– Detroit Tigers– Philadelphia Phillies– New York Mets– Toronto Blue Jays– Pittsburgh PiratesMurakami has until December 22nd to sign with a team. pic.twitter.com/WxrgiUIlYI

    — Just Baseball (@JustBB_Media) December 13, 2025 MORE CUBS FROM BLEACHER NATION: Go Ad Free | Subscribe to the BN Newsletter

    Bears vs. Browns Preview: December Reset t.co/lMOWYMNMTI

    — Bleacher Nation Bears (@BN_Bears) December 12, 2025

    REPORT: Bears Are “Optimistic” That Rome Odunze Will Play on Sunday t.co/gsGxm7aIyn

    — Bleacher Nation Bears (@BN_Bears) December 13, 2025

    Episode 42 of the @BleacherNation Cubs podcast is live: Topics:– Winter Meetings– Maton/Milner– Remaining relievers– Bregman/Cubs– Hoerner trade talkApple: t.co/vItgj1ciQkSpotify: t.co/6eDlL8yfAsYoutube: t.co/qS3vc7qAwh

    — Michael Cerami (@Michael_Cerami) December 12, 2025

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