Another Top Free Agent Reliever Off the Board: Tyler Rogers to Toronto ...Middle East

Another one bites the dust.

Tonight, Tyler Rogers became the latest free agent reliever to come off the market. He’s off to the Toronto Blue Jays on a bigger-than-expected three-year, $37M contract with a vesting option that can bring it up to $48M per multiple reports. Let’s discuss the impact of that deal on the rest of the market and the Cubs’ own interests.

Tyler Rogers Signs with Blue Jays

There’s no doubt about it, the impact free-agent relief market is officially cruising now, with Robert Suarez (Braves), Kyle Finnegan (Tigers), Edwin Diaz (Dodgers) signing this week, and Devin Williams (Mets), Ryan Helsley (Orioles), and Raisel Iglesias (Braves) signing before the Winter Meetings.

The Cubs have signed two solid middle relievers, Phil Maton and Hoby Milner, but have not yet gotten the sure-fire, back-end reliever we had been hoping for. To that end, there’s some good news and some bad news.

The bad news is that another solid free agent reliever is off the board, and that necessarily makes it less likely that the Cubs will land one of the few remaining arms (that’s a simple supply issue). The good news is that the guy they’ve been most connected to this offseason, Pete Fairbanks, was most often connected to the Cubs and Tyler Rogers’ new team, the Blue Jays.

So I’d say, in a normal world, this would mean the Cubs’ chances of landing Fairbanks have ticked up (especially because they were never publicly connected to Rogers in the first place)…

… Unfortunately, I wouldn’t say signing Rogers takes the Blue Jays out of the impact free agent relief market entirely. Yes, his deal is substantial, and it removes one need. But the Blue Jays have been on a rampage this offseason, dead-set on acquiring talent in all phases. And they don’t seem to be limited financially in any way. If they went out and acquired Fairbanks (or Luke Weaver) from here, I don’t know that anyone would be surprised.

I don’t want this to go entirely without saying, though: This deal is for a lot more than most people expected.

Does that mean the market for Tyler Rogers was hotter than expected? Is this a reflection of the increasingly limited supply driving up demand and prices? Did the Blue Jays simply need to do more to get him (that seems unlikely)? I don’t know, but I don’t think it necessarily bodes well for the Cubs that he’s getting quite this much more than anyone thought.

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