The Opta supercomputer has projected the rest of the season, giving us the probable NFL playoff scenarios. We’ve included projected records, chances of winning the division, making the playoffs and reaching the Super Bowl.
Entering Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season, we continue to see separation between the contenders and pretenders.
Week 13 was another wild one with the Cincinnati Bengals beating the Baltimore Ravens, the Carolina Panthers upending the Los Angeles Rams and the Houston Texans going into Indianapolis and coming away with a statement victory over the Colts.
And how about the surprising 9-3 Chicago Bears moving into the top spot in the NFC after winning on the road against the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles?
What does this all mean for the playoff picture as we creep closer to Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California? The Opta supercomputer helps answer that question by projecting the rest of the season and giving us the probable playoff scenario for both conferences.
We’ve included each team’s TRACR, projected record and seed, and chances of winning the division, making the playoffs and reaching the Super Bowl. TRACR incorporates individual talent on a roster and team performance.
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(Jump to NFC)
1. New England Patriots
TRACR: 11.47 (2nd in AFC) Expected Record: 13-4 Playoff Probability: 100.0% Win Division Probability: 90.7% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 25.5%It feels like the Tom Brady era again. The Patriots are 10-2 and own the fourth-highest probability of winning the Super Bowl, according to the Opta supercomputer. They take on the visiting Giants in Week 13 on Monday Night Football.
Next Three Weeks: BYE, vs. Bills, at Ravens
2. Denver Broncos
TRACR: 11.59 (1st in AFC) Expected Record: 13-4 Playoff Probability: 99.4% Win Division Probability: 91.3% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 26.6%According to @OptaSTATS, there have been 202 instances in NFL history of a team trailing in each of its first 12 games of a season. The Broncos are the only ones to win 10 of those games.
Next Three Weeks: at Raiders, vs. Packers, vs. Jaguars
3. Jacksonville Jaguars
TRACR: 8.13 (10th in AFC) Expected Record: 11-6 Playoff Probability: 79.6% Win Division Probability: 34.7% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 6.2%The Jaguars have been difficult to figure out. They’ve beaten the 49ers, Chiefs and Chargers but struggled to beat the Raiders and lost to the Davis Mills-led Texans. Either way, they’ve won three in a row and are projected to win the AFC South.
Next Three Weeks: vs. Colts, vs. Jets, at Broncos
4. Pittsburgh Steelers
TRACR: 9.43 (8th in AFC) Expected Record: 9-8 Playoff Probability: 50.4% Win Division Probability: 49.2% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 5.1%The “Fire Tomlin” chants were out during the team’s 26-7 home loss to the Bills. Pittsburgh, which has gone 2-4 after a 4-1 start, remains in a tie for first in the weak AFC North after the Ravens (also 6-6) were crushed by the Bengals. The Steelers visit Baltimore on Sunday.
Next Three Weeks: at Ravens, vs. Dolphins, at Lions
5. Buffalo Bills
TRACR: 9.53 (7th in AFC) Expected Record: 11-6 Playoff Probability: 80.8% Win Division Probability: 9.3% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 7.3%The Bills moved to within two games of the idle AFC East-leading Patriots with an impressive win at Pittsburgh in Week 13. They’d like to start stacking wins after splitting their last eight games following a 4-0 start. Buffalo visits New England in Week 15.
Next Three Weeks: vs. Bengals, at Patriots, at Browns
6. Indianapolis Colts
TRACR: 8.82 (9th in AFC) Expected Record: 10-7 Playoff Probability: 72.4% Win Division Probability: 35.0% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 6.0%Why are the Jags ahead of the Colts? Expected division position is an average projected finish, and it’s likely that the games remaining for one of the teams are more impactful. For example, the Colts (who have lost two in a row) might have a higher chance of finishing first, but also a higher chance of finishing third. Obviously, the matchup at Jacksonville looms large.
Next Three Weeks: at Jaguars, at Seahawks, vs. 49ers
7. Los Angeles Chargers
TRACR: 9.80 (6th in AFC) Expected Record: 10-7 Playoff Probability: 71.9% Win Division Probability: 8.1% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 6.3%The Chargers have won four of their last five games after last week’s 31-14 home win over the hapless Las Vegas Raiders. Los Angeles, however, will find out what it’s made of over the final five games: Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, Texans and Broncos.
Next Three Weeks: vs. Eagles, at Chiefs, at Cowboys
First AFC Teams Out
8. Houston Texans
TRACR: 11.08 (3rd in AFC) Expected Record: 10-7 Playoff Probability: 71.8% Win Division Probability: 30.9% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 9.9%After an 0-3 start, the Texans have won seven of nine and four in a row. They’ve made statements with wins over the Bills and at Indianapolis in their last two games, but now a trip to desperate Kansas City awaits in Week 14.
Next Three Weeks: at Chiefs, vs. Cardinals, vs. Raiders
9. Kansas City Chiefs
TRACR: 10.33 (4th in AFC) Expected Record: 9-8 Playoff Probability: 22.9% Win Division Probability: 0.6% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 2.3%The Chiefs have dropped three of four and are on the verge of potentially being all but knocked out of the playoff race by the red-hot Texans this weekend. The Opta supercomputer gives KC the 10th-highest playoff probability at 22.9% heading into Week 14. It’s hard to count Patrick Mahomes and Co. out.
Next Three Weeks: vs. Texans, vs. Chargers, at Titans
10. Baltimore Ravens
TRACR: 9.87 (5th in AFC) Expected Record: 8-9 Playoff Probability: 44.0% Win Division Probability: 44.0% Reach Super Bowl Probability: 4.4%Well, not many people saw that coming. Riding a five-game winning streak, the Ravens suffered a shocking 32-14 loss to Joe Burrow and the Bengals on Thanksgiving. Still, Baltimore has a chance to take over first place in the AFC North with a home win over Pittsburgh in Week 14.
Next Three Weeks: vs. Steelers, at Bengals, vs. Patriots
11. Miami Dolphins
TRACR: 4.39 (14th in AFC) Expected Record: 7-10 Playoff Probability: 0.6% Win Division Probability:Hence then, the article about nfl playoff predictions the supercomputer projects the road to super bowl lx was published today ( ) and is available on The Analyst ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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