Mizzou (7-3,3-3 SEC) is set to travel to Norman for an SEC showdown against the No. 11 Oklahoma Sooners (8-2,4-2 SEC), with early odds favoring Brent Venables’s team by more than a touchdown as OU heads into this Week 13 matchup.
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) projects how it plays out for these two former Big 12 rivals in their renewed SEC clash, projecting a strong likelihood of an Oklahoma victory at 65.4%. Mizzou, on the other hand, has a 35.8% chance of pulling off an upset on the road.
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The Tigers enter this game following a decisive 49-28 win over Mississippi State in Week 12. Running back Ahmad Hardy led the way with a historic performance of 25 carries for 300 yards and three touchdowns. Quarterback Matt Zollers completed 8 of 15 passes for 112 yards, along with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Meanwhile, the Sooners knocked off Alabama by a score of 23-21. Quarterback John Matteer threw for 138 yards on 15 of 23 passing attempts without any touchdowns or interceptions. He also rushed ten times for 23 yards and scored one rushing touchdown. Running back Xavier Robison added to the offense with ten carries for 34 yards and two receptions totaling eight yards.
The last time Mizzou defeated Oklahoma was during the BCS era as members of the Big 12 during the 2010 season, when Blaine Gabbert led the then-No. 18 Tigers to a surprising upset over the Sooners, winning by a score of 36-27. This could be another intriguing battle, particularly in third-down situations, where both teams’ defensive capabilities are comparable. Both squads are currently tied at No. 13 in FBS with a third-down conversion percentage allowed of just 31.1%.
Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET from Norman and will be broadcast on ABC.
ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome Mizzou vs Oklahoma Saturday Down South.
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