Heading into Week 12, six SEC teams are positioning themselves strongly for the College Football Playoff (CFP). Among them are No. 12 Oklahoma (7-2, 3-2 SEC) and No. 4 Alabama (8-1, 6-0 SEC), who will face off in a midday showdown at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa.
The Crimson Tide remains undefeated in conference play with a perfect record of 6-0. According to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), Alabama has a 71.6% chance of extending that streak to 7-0 on Saturday against the Sooners, who sit at 28.4%.
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Alabama is coming off a decisive victory over LSU, winning 20-9 in Week 11. Quarterback Ty Simpson led the team with an impressive performance, throwing for 277 yards on 21 of 35 attempts, including one touchdown and no interceptions. Wide receiver Germie Bernard added to the offensive effort with three catches totaling 79 yards.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma enters this matchup refreshed after a much-needed bye week following its narrow win against Tennessee in Week 10, where OU triumphed 33-27. Quarterback John Mateer had a solid outing, completing all his passes—19 attempts for 159 yards—though he did not throw any touchdowns and recorded one interception. He also showcased his dual-threat ability by rushing for another touchdown on 16 carries that netted him 80 yards. Running back Xavier Robinson was instrumental as well, accumulating 115 yards and one touchdown on his own set of touches.
Alabama’s run game has been inconsistent throughout the season; if Oklahoma can find a way to neutralize the ground attack and keep Ty Simpson from finding rhythm, it could lead to an intriguing contest at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Even if the Sooners manage to keep the game close but ultimately fall short against Alabama, it may not significantly impact their CFP aspirations. For Oklahoma’s offense to succeed against Alabama’s formidable defense—which ranks 18th overall in FBS by allowing just over 303 yards per game—they will need standout performances from both Mateer and emerging talent Tory Blaylock.
Alabama is heavily favored against Oklahoma as it aims to maintain its flawless conference record, with kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET live on ABC from Tuscaloosa.
ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of Oklahoma at Alabama Saturday Down South.
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