The rivalry between Florida and Kentucky may not be as widely discussed in college football, largely due to the Gators’ dominance over the series for decades. However, as both teams prepare for their Week 11 matchup in Lexington, they find themselves struggling with identical 3-5 records, each hoping to keep their bowl game aspirations alive.
According to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), Florida is projected to secure a road victory with a probability of 58.3%, while Kentucky has a 41.7% chance of winning.
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Kentucky recently broke a losing streak by defeating Auburn on the road, clinching a narrow 10-3 victory that appeared to be the final straw leading to Auburn’s head coach Hugh Freeze being fired. Quarterback Cutter Boley displayed improved confidence, throwing for 161 yards on 18 of 29 attempts, including one touchdown and two interceptions. Receiver Kendrick Law contributed significantly with six catches for 49 yards and one touchdown.
In contrast, Florida put up a strong fight against Georgia but ultimately fell short, losing 24-20. Quarterback DJ Lagaway completed 15 of 24 passes for 166 yards and one touchdown without any interceptions. He also contributed on the ground with ten carries for 24 yards. Running back Jaden Baugh added to the offense with 72 rushing yards on 15 attempts and one touchdown, while Eugene Wilson III recorded nine receptions for 121 yards and another touchdown.
This Saturday evening’s contest in Lexington promises to be intriguing. Florida has struggled to secure victories away from home this season, currently sitting at an unflattering record of 0-4 in road games. In the Gators’ last three away matches, they have been outscored by a combined total of 80-34. Their recent performances have been marred by turnovers and offensive inefficiencies; however, they still are a strong team, especially when it comes to their defense.
On the other hand, the Wildcats appears to have regained their footing following the win against Auburn, which could provide them with momentum heading into this critical matchup against Florida. Still, they will have to do more than just show up here and their to fend off the Gators even on their home turf.
Under interim coach Billy Gonzales, Florida looks to continue to show resilience, and DJ Lagaway thrives under pressure. The game is set to kick off at Kroger Field at 7:30 p.m. ET.
ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of Florida at Kentucky Saturday Down South.
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