The Missouri State Bears (2-3) will face off against a fellow CUSA foe, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-4) in a matchup on Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium. The spread predicts a close game, with the Bears favored to win by 2.5 points. The over/under for the contest is 51.5 points.
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Bears (-2.5) Moneyline: Bears (-130), Blue Raiders (+110) Total: 51.5 pointsBest Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Promo Code
How to Watch Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee
When: Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET Location: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee TV: ESPN2 Live Stream: Watch this game on FuboMissouri State 2025 Stats & Rankings
Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 261.8 (1309) 42 Rush yards 109.6 (548) 117 Points scored 21.6 (108) 112 Pass yards against 239.0 (1195) 94 Rush yards against 164.2 (821) 101 Points allowed 31.6 (158) 118Watch NCAA football on ESPN+
Missouri State 2025 Betting Info
The Bears have compiled a 3-2-0 ATS record so far this year. Missouri State is 1-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites. So far this season, just one of the Bears games has gone over the point total. The average over/under the Bears have had in their matchups this year is 6.4 more points than this particular game’s point total. The Bears have covered the spread twice in their past three matchups while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games. Once in those three games, the final combined score surpassed the set total. The last three Blue Raiders games averaged 50.5 total points, 1.0 fewer point than this matchup’s over/under.Missouri State Home/Away Splits (2025)
Overall Home Away Point Total AVG 55.0 54.5 55.3 Implied Total AVG 34.2 36.2 32.5 ATS Record 5-6-0 2-3-0 3-3-0 Over/Under Record 7-4-0 3-2-0 4-2-0 Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 4-0 3-0 Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2Watch college football, live sports and entertainment on Fubo! Get started today.
Missouri State’s Offense vs. Middle Tennessee’s Defense (2025)
The Bears’ passing attack averages 8.1 yards per pass attempt (41st in the FBS). The Blue Raiders give up 8.9 per pass (129th in college football). Missouri State is 135th in the FBS in third-down percentage (26.6%), and will be facing the 62nd-ranked Middle Tennessee third-down defense (37.3%).Middle Tennessee 2025 Stats & Rankings
Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 229.6 (1148) 69 Rush yards 82.2 (411) 132 Points scored 16.4 (82) 128 Pass yards against 216.0 (1080) 64 Rush yards against 170.2 (851) 112 Points allowed 31.0 (155) 115Middle Tennessee 2025 Betting Info
The Blue Raiders have won once against the spread this season. Missouri State is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season. The Blue Raiders have played two games (out of five) which finished over the total this year. The average point total in Bears games this season is 6.4 more points than the over/under of 51.5 in this matchup. The Bears are 2-1 against the spread over their past three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests. Middle Tennessee and its opponents have hit the over in one of those games. The Blue Raiders’ past three games have ended with an average of 50.5 points scored. That’s 1.0 fewer point than this contest’s over/under.Head to Vivid Seats to secure tickets for NCAA football, other live sporting events, concerts and much more!
Middle Tennessee Home/Away Splits (2025)
Overall Home Away Point Total AVG 50.1 50.0 50.2 Implied Total AVG 31.6 30.0 32.7 ATS Record 1-4-0 0-2-0 1-2-0 Over/Under Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0 Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2Middle Tennessee’s Offense vs. Missouri State’s Defense (2025)
The Blue Raiders are successful on 29.9% of their third-down plays (130th in college football). The Bears’ defense gives up third-down conversions at a 39.7% clip (81st). Middle Tennessee has the 132nd-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (82.2 yards per game). It faces Missouri State’s 101st-ranked rushing defense, which gives up 164.2 on the ground. The Blue Raiders score on 70.6% of their red zone trips (127th in the FBS), and will be up against the Bears’ 98th-ranked defense in that category (90.0%). Missouri State’s defense gives up 239.0 yards through the air per game (94th in the FBS). Middle Tennessee’s 229.6 passing yards per game is 69th in college football.Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee is the Bears (-130 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the under at 51.5 points.
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