We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at Selhurst Park with our Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction and preview. Both teams are aiming to maintain an unbeaten start to the season.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: The Key Stats
Liverpool are favourites for the three points, with the Opta supercomputer giving them a 47.6% chance of victory. Crystal Palace will equal the longest unbeaten run in their history if they avoid defeat here (18 games). Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored 29 goals in 55 Premier League appearances for Crystal Palace under Oliver Glasner.The only two unbeaten teams in the Premier League meet at Selhurst Park when Crystal Palace host Liverpool on Saturday, and someone’s ‘0’ has got to go… unless it’s a draw.
Few people would’ve been too surprised to see the Reds get through their first five league games without suffering a loss, but perhaps not Palace.
However, anyone doubting the Eagles wasn’t paying attention at the end of last season. Oliver Glasner’s side come into this match on a 17-game unbeaten run in all competitions. If they can take a point or three here, Palace will equal a club record that was set with an unbeaten streak that ended in August 1969.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
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They won the Community Shield against the Reds on penalties last month after a 2-2 draw in normal time. The clubs also clashed on the final day of last season, drawing 1-1 at Anfield.
While Liverpool did win the corresponding fixture at Selhurst Park last season, it was only by a 1-0 scoreline thanks to an early Diogo Jota goal. With Palace winning 1-0 at Liverpool in the meeting prior to that, this head-to-head has seen only close matches for quite some time.
Equally, that victory was the Eagles’ only success against the Reds in their last 16 league meetings, with only six goals scored across the previous 12. If history is on anyone’s side here, it favours Liverpool.
Palace will have rarely come into a match against anyone on the back of a better stretch of performances, though. Opta’s expected points model simulates every match 10,000 times using the expected goals data from it. The outcome from doing this for the 2025-26 Premier League so far suggests Glasner’s men should be top of the league, not Liverpool.
Their previous home game gave an example of why they are not, though, as Palace failed to score against Sunderland despite amassing 1.8 xG. They had to settle for a point when they probably deserved three.
The opposite has been true for Liverpool, who are repeatedly salvaging wins late on when a draw looked inevitable. While that is surely unsustainable, it’s also worth noting that, like Palace, they have yet to go behind in any match in all competitions this term. If Arne Slot can instil better game management in his troops once they are ahead, the Reds are going to be very hard to stop.
It’s also easier to take the lead when you have Mohamed Salah in your side. He has scored or assisted Liverpool’s opening goal in their last three league or UEFA Champions League matches. Salah has also been involved in 51 Premier League goals (31 goals, 20 assists) since the start of 2024-25, 20 more than any other player. His collection includes an equaliser against Palace when these sides last met in the league.
Slot will be counting on Salah here after Hugo Ekitiké was foolishly sent of in the EFL Cup win over Southampton in midweek. The match also cost the Reds young centre-back Giovanni Leoni to long-term injury, though everyone else should be available for the defending champions. Alexander Isak is likely to start up front after opening his Liverpool account against Saints on Wednesday.
Palace’s squad is carrying far more fitness problems. Glasner will be without Walter Benitez, Cheick Doucouré and Chadi Riad, while Odsonne Édouard, Caleb Kporha, Yéremy Pino and Ismaïla Sarr are also doubtful.
The Eagles will at least be able to call upon Marc Guéhi, Maxence Lacroix and Chris Richards. They have kept 11 clean sheets in the 19 Premier League games they have started together as a back three. Jean-Philipe Mateta is vital too.
He has scored 29 league goals in 55 appearances for Glasner, meaning only Wout Weghorst (with 36 in 66) has more for the Austrian manager. Palace’s direct speed upfield of 2.02 metres per second is the second fastest in the Premier League this season, showing how they can go from the solid back line to their potent forward in the blink of an eye.
Three of the last four occasions two unbeaten sides have met this late into a season saw the match end in a draw, with the exception Spurs’ 2-1 win over Liverpool in September 2023. That game went down in infamy due to the incorrectly-disallowed goal by Luis Díaz, else it might have ended all-square too. There likely won’t be much separating Crystal Palace and the Reds on Saturday afternoon.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Head-to-Head
This match up is quite rare in that both teams have had more joy on the road rather than in front of their own fans.
Crystal Palace’s last four league wins over Liverpool have all occurred at Anfield. They have just one victory at Selhurst Park in the last 20 years, a 3-1 triumph in December 2014.
As this implies, the Reds have been near unstoppable in this part of south London. Liverpool have won nine and lost none of their last 10 away league games against Palace. It is their longest ongoing unbeaten run away from home in the league against any side.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace? The Opta supercomputer isn’t far from flipping a coin to decide.
The 10,000 match simulations saw the Reds claim the three points 47.6% of the time. Crystal Palace won 28.1% of the run-throughs, with a draw occurring in 24.3% of them.
Liverpool are the favourites but it’s also slightly likelier that their 100% start to the season comes to an end. This should be a close contest.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups
Crystal Palace: Dean Henderson, Chris Richards, Maxence Lacroix, Marc Guéhi, Adam Wharton, Will Hughes, Daniel Muñoz, Tyrick Mitchell, Daichi Kamada, Justin Devenny, Jean-Philippe Mateta.
Head Coach: Oliver Glasner
Liverpool: Alisson, Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak.
Head Coach: Arne Slot
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction: Can Unbeaten Eagles Halt Reds’ Momentum? Opta Analyst.
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