The firm is forecasting that core CPI is seen at +0.35% m/m (vs +0.32% m/m estimate) and +3.11% y/y (vs +3.00% y/y estimate) in July. Among all the analysts, UBS has the highest estimates as they see inflation pressures picking up from now all the way through to the autumn season.
UBS is anticipating tariffs impact to have a say in all this as they forecast core goods inflation to be at +0.38% m/m. That follows a +0.20% m/m reading in June. And the firm is locking in even stronger readings for the months ahead, with +0.60% in August, +0.76% in September, and +0.73% in October.
Besides that, UBS is also expecting core services inflation to accelerate in July to +0.35% m/m. And that follows from a +0.25% m/m reading in June.
On this, they are citing a rebound in prices for airfares and lodging away from home. For some context, the former was seen down 0.11% with the latter down 2.89% back in June. UBS is anticipating a 1.0% monthly increase (vs +1.50% estimate) in prices for airfares and 0.90% increase (vs +0.06% estimate) for lodging away from home.
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.Hence then, the article about us inflation seen picking up in july with bigger accelerations in the months ahead ubs was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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