Liberty vs Sun: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Aug. 1 ...Middle East

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Liberty vs Sun: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Aug. 1

The Connecticut Sun (4-21) will look to Tina Charles (16.1 points per game, 15th in WNBA) when they try to knock off Sabrina Ionescu (19.7, fourth) and the New York Liberty (17-9) on Friday, August 1, 2025 at Mohegan Sun Arena. It tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Our computer predictions for Friday’s game may help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

    Pick the Liberty (-10.5) to Cover

    The Liberty have covered the spread 11 times over 26 games with a set spread. The Sun have registered a 12-13-0 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 10.5-point favorites or more, the Liberty have an ATS record of 5-5. In games this year when an underdog by 10.5 points or more, the Sun are 10-6 against the spread.

    Take the Under (168)

    The Liberty and their opponents have scored more than 168 points in 14 of 26 games this season. Sun games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 168 points in 10 of 25 outings. These two teams are scoring 162.5 points per game between them, 5.5 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Opponents of these teams score 169.4 combined points per game, 1.4 more points than this matchup’s total. The Liberty have an average total of 166.3 in their matchups this year, 1.7 fewer points than this game’s over/under. Sun games this season have had an average of 159.9 points, 8.1 fewer points than this game’s point total.

    Back the Liberty on the Moneyline (-617)

    The Liberty have won 77.3% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (17-5). The Sun have won four, or 16.7%, of the 24 games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Liberty are 6-2 (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -617 or shorter. This season, the Sun have won two of their 13 games, or 15.4%, when they’re the underdog by at least +447 on the moneyline. The Liberty have an implied moneyline win probability of 86.1% in this matchup. The moneyline for this contest implies a 18.3% chance of a victory for the Sun.

    Top Liberty Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Sabrina Ionescu 20.5 5.5 6.5 Jonquel Jones 15.5 10.5 –

    Top Sun Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Tina Charles 14.5 5.5 –

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