Goldman Sachs has laid out a clear reaction playbook for equity markets ahead of Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, suggesting the S&P 500 is poised for moderate swings based on where the headline jobs figure lands.
According to the bank’s estimates, a print around their baseline forecast of +100k jobs would be the market’s “neutral zone,” expected to generate a modest +0.40% rise in the S&P 500.
Here's the breakdown of projected SPX moves:
150k: SPX ±0.25% (limited directional impact)
The implied SPX move through Friday’s close is ~0.79%, indicating options markets are pricing in a moderate reaction.
Goldman’s framework suggests markets may reward a “Goldilocks” jobs number that avoids signalling either recession risk (too low) or renewed inflationary pressure (too high). A stronger-than-expected print north of 150k is seen as ambiguous for equities, likely due to the potential for revived Fed hawkishness.
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Separately, Goldman Sachs Credit strategists warn that global corporate credit spreads are at lowest since 2007, advise hedging
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.Hence then, the article about goldman sachs outlines s p500 reaction expected to jobs report looks for nfp sweet spot was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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