It’s the world champions against European royalty; will Spain go one step closer to completing their trophy cabinet or will Germany go further ahead in the history books? We preview this Euro 2025 semi-final clash with our Germany vs Spain prediction.
England vs Italy Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta supercomputer predicts Spain to advance to the final in 54.4% of its current simulations, while Germany trail slightly, with their chances rated at 45.6%. This will be Germany’s 11th appearance in the semi-final of the UEFA Women’s Euros. They have appeared at this stage two more times than any other nation (Norway and Sweden – 9), progressing to the final from each of their last seven semi-final appearances in the competition. Spain have reached the semi-finals of the Women’s Euros for the first time since 1997. They’ve won all four games at this year’s edition; that’s only one fewer than in their first four tournaments combined (W5 D3 L8).Against all odds, and playing with 10 players for the majority of the game, Germany defied expectations to overcome a strong French side that looked in full swing to book their place in yet another semi-final at the Women’s Euros.
Despite the French having 73% possession, Germany held Les Bleus to just 13 shots and an expected goals (xG) total of 1.7 in regulation time. Both of those figures were the lowest tally France recorded in any of their matches during this tournament.
If Germany can replicate that level of defensive organisation against Spain, they’ll be in with a good shout of progressing. The eight-time champions have consistently shown they know how to win in this competition, and their tournament pedigree gives them an edge against even the most technically gifted opponents. They needed all their experience to survive until penalties against France, and from there they won the shootout.
Spain initially struggled to break down Switzerland, finally scoring after the 66th minute, and they may face an even more disciplined German backline here.
Germany had to react to losing Kathrin Hendrich after just 12 minutes and 21 seconds against France – the earliest red card ever shown in a UEFA Women’s Euros match – but that seemed to galvanise them, giving them added motivation to prevail. After Carlotta Wamser was sent off against Sweden in the group stage, Germany are the first team to receive two red cards in a single edition of the Women’s Euros.
By beating France, Germany are now just one step away from extending their record of reaching nine UEFA Women’s Euros finals.
The Berger Barrier
If Germany are to limit Spain’s attacking threat just as they did to France, goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger will need to be on top of her game once more.
Spain have scored 16 goals already at Women’s Euro 2025; only England in 2022 (22) and Germany in 2009 (21) have ever netted more in a single edition.
Berger made nine saves in the quarter-final triumph over France (excl. shootout), the second most on record (since 2013) by a goalkeeper in a Women’s Euros knockout-stage match, behind Daphne van Domselaar for the Netherlands against France at in the quarter-final of Euro 2022 (11), and the most on record by a German goalkeeper in a major tournament game (Euros/World Cup) since 2011.
Indeed, Berger’s nine saves in that game alone were three times as many as Spain’s goalkeepers have made throughout the entire 2025 edition (3 by Adriana Nanclares).
As Germany’s oldest player to appear in the competition, the key to keeping the Spanish out will indeed be the presence of Berger.
Bühl and Brand at their best
As already mentioned in our preview of Germany’s previous game against France, Germany’s attacking threat is carried by wingers Klara Bühl and Jules Brand.
Read more on Bühl and Brand
Women’s Euro 2025France vs Germany Prediction: Women’s Euro 2025 Quarter-Final Preview
4 days ago Maya ShahBühl has completed 19 dribbles at this tournament, more than any other player heading into the semi-final round, as well as the most by a Germany player at a major tournament on record (Euros/World Cup – since 2011).
She remains the only player to carry the ball over 1,000m in the tournament (1214.8m), as well as ranking top across Euro 2025 for shot-ending carries (9) and take-on ending carries (20), while fellow teammate Jules Brand ranks second with 14. She also leads all players for all progressive carries (65) and progressive carries of 10m+ (35).
Nevertheless, despite Bühl’s impressive form in the 2024-25 Women’s Bundesliga, netting seven goals in what stands as the second-best seasonal tally of her career, she is still searching for her first goal at Euro 2025.
And what better stage to break her tournament duck than against the reigning world champions? A goal in such a high-stakes clash would be a fitting moment to mark her arrival on the European stage.
The Emergence of Sjoeke Nüsken
At just 24, Chelsea’s Sjoeke Nüsken has emerged as one of Euro 2025’s most quietly influential players. Once considered a utility midfielder, Nüsken has transformed into a true two-way force on the international stage.
Her impact has been vital, netting the equaliser in Germany’s dramatic draw against France as well as the leveller in their group-stage tie against Denmark. She is Germany’s joint-top scorer (2) for Euro 2025 alongside Brand and Lea Schüller.
But it’s her all-round game that’s making headlines.
Nüsken ranks joint-third among all players at Euro 2025 for interceptions (9), showcasing her tactical intelligence and ability to break up play in midfield.
This is no tournament fluke. Across the 2024-25 WSL season, she recorded the third-most interceptions league-wide (39) and led all Chelsea players in duels won (112); a clear indicator of her defensive steel and physical presence. That tenacity has carried into the Euros, where she ranks sixth overall for duels won (32), anchoring Germany’s midfield.
Yet Nüsken’s contributions aren’t just limited to defence.
She ranked second among Chelsea players for shots taken in the WSL (45), narrowly behind joint-leaders Johanna Rytting Kaneryd and Aggie Beever-Jones (46 each). Her offensive instincts have been on show again this summer, with two goals in just four Euro 2025 appearances, matching the total from her previous 25 international caps combined.
If Germany are to triumph over the world champions, they must overcome a recent history of underperformance in knockout football. They have lost five of their last nine knockout matches at major tournaments (W3 D1), as many defeats as they suffered in their previous 31 Euros and World Cup knockout games combined (W24 D2).
In fact, Germany have held a lead for just 82 minutes across their four matches at UEFA Women’s Euro 2025, with hosts Switzerland (46 minutes) the only nation to spend less time in front in games among those that progressed to the knockout stage.
Scintillating Spain
Despite taking until the 66th minute to open the scoring against Switzerland, Spain still accumulated a huge expected goals (xG) total of 3.83 in their quarter-final game.
It’s fair to say Spain have been utterly dominant at Euro 2025 so far, topping the tournament charts for goals scored (16), total shots (98), average possession (73.5%), and fewest goals conceded (3).
Spain have won each of their last eight games at major tournaments, as many as they had in their first 26 Euros/World Cup matches combined (D5 L13).
La Roja are averaging 620 completed passes per game so far at Euro 2025, the most on record by a team at a major competition (Euros/World Cup) since 2011. Moreover, Spain have had 30 shots after a sequence of 10+ passes at this edition of the tournament, at least 20 more than any other nation heading into the semi-final round (Germany and England – 10).
Six Spanish players (Alèxia Putellas, Patr Guijarroi, Mariona Caldentey, Laia Aleixandri, Olga Carmona, Ona Batlle) rank in the top six for the number of successful passes in the opposition half.
It’s hard to imagine that this is just Spain’s second appearance in the semi-final of the UEFA Women’s Euros, previously losing 2-1 to Italy in the 1997 edition.
If they hope to overcome their recent record against the Germans, losing each of their last two meetings against them in all competitions, Spain will need to carry their dominant form into their toughest test yet.
So far, the highest FIFA-ranked opponent they’ve faced at this tournament was 13th-placed Italy in the group stage.
La Roja haven’t lost three consecutive matches against the same opponent since a run of three defeats against USA between January 2019 and March 2020.
Pina on Point
You might remember her name from scoring the winner against England in Spain’s recent 2-1 victory in the UEFA Women’s Nations League: Clàudia Pina is a menace in a strong Spanish side.
She has netted five goals in her last six appearances in all competitions for Spain, while she’s one of three players on record since 2013 to score two goals from outside the box in a UEFA Women’s tournament, after Lieke Martens in 2017 for the Netherlands and Fran Kirby in 2022 for England, both of whom ended as tournament winners.
Pina also ranked top for shots (6) and chances created (3) in their game against Switzerland, while among those players who have played 200+ minutes, she ranks second for shots per 90 (5.75), behind current golden boot leader (with four goals) and teammate Esther González (6.21).
La Roja lead Euro 2025 for the most goals from outside the box (3), showcasing their ability to threaten from all areas in the final third, adding another dimension to their already formidable attacking arsenal.
Putellas has created 18 chances from open play so far at the tournament, the most on record by a European player at a single major tournament (Euros/World Cup – since 2011). She is, however, still awaiting her first goal or assist in the knockout stages of either competition (8 apps), having totalled nine goal involvements in the group stage (18 apps).
She also tops the charts for shot-ending sequence involvements (46), goal-ending sequence involvements (9), and xG sequence involvement (5.89).
Midfield Machine Patri
Midfielder Patri Guijarro has also been at the foundation of everything good Spain have built.
She has the highest number of open-play build-up involvements across Euro 2025 (228), goal build-up involvements (5), and open-play sequence involvements (241), while trailing only to teammate Putellas (46) for shot-ending sequences involvements, with 38.
This essentially means that whenever Spain have long periods of possession that contain 10+ passes and either ending in a shot or touch in a box, Patri is involved the most.
Possible Penalty Showdown
With the probability of a draw sitting at 26.2% come the end of 90 minutes, we must acknowledge the possibility of another penalty shootout.
Both Caldentey and Putellas missed penalties against Switzerland, making Spain the first side to miss two penalties in a UEFA Women’s Euro game since Norway against Germany in 2013.
Similarly, Germany’s Nüsken also missed a penalty in normal time against the French. Her side were however victorious in their penalty shootout against the Blues.
This will be just the third meeting between Germany and Spain at a major tournament (Euros/World Cup), with Germany winning both previous meetings without conceding a goal. They won 1-0 in the group stage of the 2019 Women’s World Cup and 2-0 in the group stage of the 2022 UEFA Women’s Euros.
A night under the lights in Zurich awaits as Spain look to maintain hopes of completing their trophy cabinet (holding the World Cup, Nations League and Euros at the same time).
Germany vs Spain Prediction
The supercomputer slightly favours Spain here, with La Roja progressing into the final in 54.4% of simulations. Germany march through 45.6% of the time.
Spain are predicted to win inside 90 minutes in 40.9% of scenarios, while Germany are victorious in 32.9%.
The Germans defied expectations last time… can they do it again?
Germany vs Spain Squads
Germany
Ann-Katrin Berger, Stina Johannes, Ena Mahmutovic, Giulia Gwinn, Kathrin Hendrich, Franziska Kett, Sophia Kleinherne, Rebecca Knaak, Sarai Linder, Janina Minge, Carlotta Wamser, Sara Dabritz, Linda Dallmann, Sydney Lohmann, Sjoeke Nüsken, Elisa Senss, Jule Brand, Klara Buhl, Selina Cerci, Laura Freigang, Giovanna Hoffmann, Lea Schuller, Cora Zicai.
Head Coach: Christian Wück
Spain
Esther Sullastres, Cata Coll, Adriana Nanclares, Laia Aleixandri, Ona Batlle, Olga Carmona, Jana Fernandez, Maria Mendez, Leila Ouahabi, Irene Paredes, Aitana Bonmati, Patricia Guijarro, Vicky Lopez, Alexia Putellas, Maite Zubieta, Mariona Caldentey, Athenea del Castillo, Lucia Garcia, Esther Gonzalez, Cristina Martin-Prieto, Salma Paralluelo, Claudia Pina, Alba Redondo.
Head Coach: Montse Tomé
Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
Germany vs Spain Prediction: Women’s Euro 2025 Semi-Final Preview Opta Analyst.
Hence then, the article about germany vs spain prediction women s euro 2025 semi final preview was published today ( ) and is available on The Analyst ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Germany vs Spain Prediction: Women’s Euro 2025 Semi-Final Preview )
Also on site :
- 12-year old Russian beats world chess champion
- Hundreds of popular grocery, drug-store items recalled due to ‘filth' at Midwest distribution center
- Body recovered from Lake Natoma amid search for missing man