Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Quarter-Final Preview ...Middle East

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Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Quarter-Final Preview

We preview this quarter-final match at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup with our Palmeiras vs Chelsea prediction. Which club will progress to the semis and move closer to glory?

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Stats: The Key Insights

Chelsea are the Opta supercomputer‘s favourites to progress from this tie (74.8%), and also the most likely side to win the tournament ahead of the quarter-finals (26.8%). Brazilian clubs have defeated European teams at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup more often (3) than they have lost against them (2). Pedro Neto has scored in three consecutive Chelsea appearances for the first time in his career.

After Manchester City’s exit in the last round, Chelsea are the Premier League’s only remaining club at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. What’s more, Man City’s exit to Al-Hilal along with Inter’s defeat to Fluminense have opened up Chelsea’s half of the draw and, on paper, made their route to the final a potentially simpler task.

    But we know football isn’t played on paper, and as Brazilian clubs have proved so far at this tournament, they are no pushovers. In beating Inter on Monday, Fluminense sealed a third victory for Brazilian clubs against European opposition at the FIFA Club World Cup – one more than they’ve lost (2).

    Palmeiras will be looking to take that tally of wins to four on Friday as they face Chelsea at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia with a place in the semi-finals on the line.

    This will be the second meeting between Palmeiras and Chelsea, with the Blues winning the final of the 2021 Club World Cup (2-1 after extra time), but the Brazilian side could be a much harder proposition this time around. Their 1-0 extra-time win over Botafogo in the last round was their 10th clean sheet in their last 14 matches in all competitions, a run dating back to 30 April.

    Chelsea only have to look back to the group stage to remember how difficult a Brazilian opponent can be, as they lost 3-1 to Flamengo despite taking the lead through Pedro Neto.

    Neto has been one of Chelsea’s best players at the Club World Cup, with the Portuguese winger heading into this match having scored in three consecutive matches for the first time in his senior club career. Before this run, he’d scored only three goals in his previous 30 appearances in all competitions for the English club.

    Moisés Caicedo has also impressed at this tournament and leads all Chelsea players for regaining possession from opponents (20), tackles made (12) and duels won (22). He will be missing for this game, however, after his second yellow card of the Club World Cup in the 4-1 victory over Benfica. Another player who will miss out is Benoît Badiashile after he was injured in that clash against the Portuguese side, but Enzo Maresca will welcome back Nicolas Jackson after serving a two-match ban.

    Palmeiras will be missing captain Gustavo Gómez through suspension following his red card in the last round against Botofogo, while Joaquín Piquerez is also suspended after picking up his second caution of the tournament in that win.

    Estêvão will be a player that Chelsea fans will have a close eye on in this match, not just because of the threat he poses to the Premier League side in this game, but also because he’ll join the English club after this tournament. No Palmeiras player has been involved in as many open-play sequences (16) or as many shots at this tournament as he has (16 – 8 shots, 8 chances created), so expect him to cause his future side some problems.

    Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction

    Chelsea are strong favourites to knock out Palmeiras and advance to the semi-finals of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, according to the Opta supercomputer.

    The Blues progressed to the next round in 74.8% of the supercomputer sims – more than any other side in the last eight of the competition. They made it to the final four inside 90 minutes 64.8% of the time, while Palmeiras won in normal time in 15.3% of the 10,000 pre-match simulations.

    Including the possibility of extra-time and a penalty shootout, the Brazilians advanced to the semis just 25.2% of the time.

    Palmeiras vs Chelsea Squads

    PalmeirasMateus, Marcos Rocha, Bruno Fuchs, Agustín Giay, Aníbal Moreno, Vanderlan, Felipe Anderson, Richard Ríos, Vitor Roque, Paulinho, Mayke, Micael, Marcelo Lomba, Gustavo Gómez, Facundo Torres, Mauricio, Weverton, Joaquín Piquerez, Raphael Veiga, Murilo, Lucas Evangelista, Luighi, Emiliano Martínez, Kaiky Naves, Thalys, Allan, Estêvão, José Manuel López, Luiz Benedetti.

    Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

    ChelseaRobert Sánchez, Marc Cucurella, Tosin Adarabioyo, Benoît Badiashile, Levi Colwill, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernández, Liam Delap, Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke, Filip Jörgensen, Dário Essugo, Nicolas Jackson, Andrey Santos, Christopher Nkunku, Mamadou Sarr, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Trevoh Chalobah, Reece James, Moisés Caicedo, Malo Gusto, Aarón Anselmino, Tyrique George, Josh Acheampong, Marc Guiu, Mike Penders, Gabriel Slonina, Roméo Lavia.

    Head Coach: Enzo Maresca

    Opta Power Rankings

    The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

    Ahead of kick-off, here are the Opta Power Rankings for both sides.

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    Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Quarter-Final Preview Opta Analyst.

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