UBS believes the sharp market reaction to the latest Middle East crisis is overdone, arguing that the geopolitical risk premium is inflated relative to the actual threat to global oil supply. The bank notes that Iran accounts for just 1.6% of global output.
Unlike past conflicts that triggered genuine supply shocks, UBS sees the current episode as unlikely to have lasting market impact. It advises investors to buy on dips, viewing any pullback as a buying opportunity rather than the start of a sustained downturn.
The bank maintains a bullish outlook on global equities, particularly in sectors such as defense and technology,
sees gold rising to $3,500/oz by end-2025 as demand climbs for both strategic and inflation-hedging assets.Bottom line: UBS sees the geopolitical fear as excessive and expects markets to remain underpinned by supportive policy, resilient wages, and AI-led productivity gains.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.Hence then, the article about ubs forecasts gold to 3 500 oz was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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