The Philadelphia Phillies battle it out against the Miami Marlins to kick off Monday’s slate of games.
The Philadelphia Phillies offense have the opportunity to sustain their high level of play on Monday night as they face off against Sandy Alcantara who has struggled with avoiding contact since returning from injury. With the Phillies offense generating Hits at an above league average rate, expect Alcantara’s struggles on the mound to continue to persist.
With seven games taking place on Monday night, there are plenty of prop bets and markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins (6:40pm, EST)
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Hits Allowed: (-150) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Just when it looked like Sandy Alcantara was going to be a force to be reckoned with after winning the Cy Young award, a devastating injury shelved him for over a year.
Since returning from injury, Alcantara has struggled to recapture the same success he had before he was forced to miss some time as the Miami Marlins pitcher is averaging an ERA of 7.14, a WHIP of 1.492, and a FIP of 4.71.
A major reason for his struggles stems from his inability to avoid contact as Alcantara is also averaging one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.
Against Philadelphia, his struggles with creating Whiffs are poised to persist as he faces off against a Phillies offense who ranks eighth overall in Contact Rate. Especially with his back end struggling in coverage as the Marlins defense ranks 25th overall in Defensive Efficiency.
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Earned Runs: (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
With the Phillies offense in a position to make contact at a consistent rate, they will have a great opportunity to get into scoring position early and often in their contest against Miami.
With the Marlins back end bringing in a high amount of contact variance into the contest due to their lack of coverage, this also increases the Phillies chances of finding the gap to help bring home their runners.
Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners (9:40pm, EST)
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases: (+105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Seattle’s Julio Rodriguez will have a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance against Lucas Giolito as the Mariners star batter excels at making contact.
As of writing, Rodriguez is averaging over one Hit per game, a .261 Batting Average, and a .742 OPS. For some more exposure, escalator bet Rodriguez’s Total Bases prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals.
Lucas Giolito Under 16.5 Outs: (-120) at FanDuel Sportsbook
It has been a rough start to the year for Lucas Giolito as the Boston Red Sox pitcher heads into Monday night’s contest against the Seattle Mariners averaging an ERA of 5.45 and a WHIP of 1.538.
His back end also fails to provide him the coverage he needs to help mask his struggles on the mound as the Red Sox defense ranks in the bottom three in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.
With Seattle’s offense excelling at getting into scoring position as their high mark in On Base Percentage indicates, expect the Mariners to take advantage of Giolito’s lack of command and generate Runs at a consistent rate.
By scoring early on in the contest, this increases the chances of Giolito getting pulled before the middle of the sixth inning to help cash the under on this prop.
Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees (7:05pm, EST)
Los Angeles Angels First Five Team Total Under 1.5: (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Even with Mike Trout back in the lineup, the former MVP has failed to elevate the Los Angeles Angels offense as a whole as they currently rank near the bottom of the board in Contact Rate, Total Runs Scored, RBIs, Bases on Walks, and in On Base Percentage.
Against Clarke Schmidt, expect the Angeles offense to continue to underwhelm as the New York Yankees pitcher is averaging an ERA of 3.60, a FIP of 3.73, and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. While his WHIP of 1.236 is a cause for concern, positive regression looms large due to the Angels struggles with making contact.
About the author
Kody Malstrom
Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.
Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.
When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.
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