Well the tariff war continues to take worse turns for Canada. USD/CAD has jumped about 60 pips on the latest from Trump, which promises an additional 25% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum on top of the 25% already scheduled for tomorrow.
Here is the tweet:
FWIW, there are almost no tariffs between Canada and the US under the USMCA but the facts don't matter in 2025. One exception is farm products, which the US subsidizes at extreme rates and were negotiated by Trump in the USMCA.
This announcement from Trump is hurting broad sentiment as well. It shows that he has no problems wrecking the market in a tariff war and isn't having second thoughts.
Canadian steel imports can be replaced, though not by Mexico which is also subject to 25% tariffs. Aluminum is a big problem though. It's extremely energy-intensive and half of US imports come from Canada.
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