Heat vs. Raptors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Miami Heat (25-28) will attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when they visit the Toronto Raptors (17-38) on Friday, February 21, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena as 3.5-point favorites. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSUN and TSN. The matchup has an over/under of 219.5.

Heat vs. Raptors Odds

Heat odds to win: -164 Raptors odds to win: +138 Spread: Heat (-3.5) Total: 219.5

How to Bet on Heat vs. Raptors

Game Time and Information

When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario TV: FDSSUN and TSN

Who Will Win Heat vs. Raptors?

Heat and Raptors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 10-9-2 against the spread.

The Raptors are 23-17-1 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.

These teams average a combined 220.4 points per game, 0.9 more points than the over/under of 219.5 set for this game.

Miami and Toronto have seen its opponents average a combined 7.7 more points per game than the point total of 219.5 set in this outing.

The average over/under the Heat have had set in matchups this year is 0.4 more points than this outing’s point total.

Toronto’s games this season have averaged an over/under of 228.6 points, 9.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

Miami is 21-29-3 against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Raptors have put together a 30-23-2 record against the spread.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109.8 points per game (24th in the league) while giving up 110.7 per contest (seventh in the NBA). They have a -46 scoring differential overall.

The 44.1 rebounds per game the Heat average rank 18th in the NBA, and are 1.6 fewer than the 45.7 their opponents collect per outing.

Miami makes 14.0 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league), while its opponents have made 13.7 on average.

The Heat rank 21st in the league by averaging 109.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 11th in the NBA, allowing 110.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Heat have scored at a higher rate at home than away from home in the 2024-25 season (111.7 at home versus 108.4 on the road), and have also allowed more points at home than in road games (111.3 opponent points per home game versus 110.2 on the road).

Raptors Stats & Insights

The Raptors have been outscored by 5.9 points per game (posting 110.6 points per game, 22nd in league, while allowing 116.5 per contest, 25th in NBA) and have a -327 scoring differential.

Toronto is 21st in the NBA at 43.8 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.6 its opponents average.

The Raptors knock down 11.4 three-pointers per game (29th in the league) at a 34.9% rate (21st in NBA), compared to the 13.5 per outing their opponents make, shooting 35.7% from deep.

The Raptors’ 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 25th in the NBA, and the 113.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 24th in the league.

At home, Toronto scores 111.9 points per game. On the road, it averages 109.

Heat Key Players to Watch

The active leader in points and assists for the Heat this season is Tyler Herro, who scores 23.9 points and distributes 5.5 assists per game.

Bam Adebayo’s averages this season are 16.7 points, 10.1 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game.

Herro makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.7 per contest.

Adebayo has notched 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocks per game.

Raptors Key Players to Watch

Scottie Barnes holds a top spot on the Raptors rebounds and assists leaderboards, scoring 20.1 points a contest with 7.9 rebounds per game and 6.3 assists per game.

RJ Barrett’s per-game averages this season are 21.7 points, 5.6 assists and 6.6 rebounds.

Gradey Dick knocks down 2.1 threes per game.

Barnes is a solid defender with 1.5 steals and 1.1 blocks per game.