here.
The disinflation process has proven to be a bit bumpy also as of late, albeit still largely running its course. However, the muddied outlook now makes it tough to envisage a smooth and clear path back towards the 2% target. Not least with the US consumer still running hot, despite a softening labour market.
The economy turns out to be much softer in 2025, with labour market slack gathering paceThe disinflation process stays the course and resumes a quicker pace again in the new yearTrump tariffs are not as forceful and high octane as anticipated, leading to less inflation fearsTrump tax cuts hit a bit of a snag and gives markets more time to digest the whole situation
That's giving the dollar a tailwind going into the turn of the year. But as we saw with how things played out this year, this sort of tailwind can eventually dissipate and turn the other way around. At some point in the middle of 2024, we were talking about just one rate cut by the Fed for the year as opposed to the six priced in during December 2023.
So, that is pretty much where we're at. It's a case of markets having a rough idea of what may transpire in 2025 but nothing is a given. In trading, the journey is just as important as the destination at the end of the day.
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.Hence then, the article about what s at stake for the dollar in 2025 was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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