ICYMI - (nearly) 90% of economists expect the Federal Reserve to cut by 25bp in December ...Middle East

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ICYMI - (nearly) 90% of economists expect the Federal Reserve to cut by 25bp in December
Reuters published its Fed survey overnight. In summary from the report:December Rate Cut Likely:Nearly 90% of economists (94 out of 106) expect a 25bps cut in December, bringing the fed funds rate to 4.25%-4.50%.Market pricing shows less than a 60% chance of a December cut, reflecting uncertainty.2025 Rate Cuts to be Shallower:Economists expect shallower rate cuts in 2025 due to risks of higher inflation from President-elect Trump's policies.Fed funds rate is forecasted at 3.50%-3.75% by end-2025, 50bps higher than last month’s projection.Key Inflation Risks:Trump's proposed policies (higher tariffs, tax reductions, deregulation, protectionist trade policies) pose significant inflation risks

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