Three reasons why US presidential odds have tightened ...Middle East

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Three reasons why US presidential odds have tightened
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Here the latest odds on betting sites for the Presidential election:PredictIt - tiedKalshi 55% Trump, 45% Harris (from as wide as 65-35)Polymarket 59% Trump, 41% HarrisBetting sites around 58 Trump, 42% HarrisNow there should be some kind of arb there but I don't think it's wise, and definitely don't do what this French guy who has put $30 million on Trump at Kalshi."Théo said he took an interest in U.S. polling data earlier this year. He observed that many polls underestimated Trump's support in 2016 and 2020, and concluded that if Trump outperformed again this year, he would beat Harris. Théo also cited the "shy Trump voter effect"—the idea that people were reluctant to tell pollsters that

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