How to use polls like a pro ...Middle East

Political junkies are in a dysfunctional relationship with polls. Each new poll quickens their heartbeat — they look at the results, look at the polling aggregators, and try to get the polls to tell them what they ultimately want to hear: that their candidate will win. Here’s the problem: polls can’t reliably predict the outcome of close races. Two presidential cycles of significant, systemic failure should have finally put an end to pollsters’ (or poll aggregators’) reputation as oracles. In 2016, on the whole, the polls leaned to the Democratic side by a point, and missed Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio by 7, 6 and 5 points in the same direction. Four years later, the national polls

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Last updated : 19 April 2024 clock 03:37 PM

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How to use polls like a pro ...Middle East

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