After weeks of sunny skies and unusually warm fall weather, the Northeast is about to get a much-needed dose of rain.
A storm system is expected to bring showers and thunderstorms across parts of the Appalachians, Great Lakes, mid-Atlantic, and New England through Friday, November 6, ending an extended dry stretch that has left many communities without measurable rainfall for more than two weeks.
In fact, according to AccuWeather, New York City, Philadelphia, and Washington, D.C., have not recorded measurable rainfall since Oct. 17.
The incoming weather system could bring more than just a few showers, however. Forecasters are watching a potential corridor of heavy rain that could develop along portions of the East Coast, bringing localized flooding and travel disruptions.
“A front is expected to stall along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts from Friday into early Saturday,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said.
The stalled front could concentrate heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms along parts of the coast, stretching from southeastern Virginia through the Delmarva Peninsula, New Jersey, Long Island, New York, and southeastern Massachusetts.
New York City, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., and Boston could sit near the northwestern edge of that heavier rain corridor, though the exact placement of the system will determine which communities see the most significant rainfall.
Within the narrow corridor, AccuWeather is forecasting between 1 and 4 inches of rain over approximately 24 to 36 hours, from Thursday night through Friday night. The heaviest downpours could produce rainfall rates approaching an inch per hour, potentially overwhelming drainage systems.
“This is the type of setup that can quickly lead to flash flooding as heavier rain cells may continuously move over the same areas,” Anderson said.
Even areas that avoid the heaviest rainfall will need to take precautions once showers arrive. After weeks of dry weather, accumulated oil, dust and other residue on roadways can mix with rain to create especially slippery driving conditions. The addition of wet leaves could make roads and sidewalks even more hazardous, while clogged storm drains could contribute to street and highway flooding.
Related: November Weather Forecast Calls for More Snow in 4 States, Warmer Temperatures Elsewhere
Cooler Temperatures Are Coming This Weekend
The rain will also usher in a noticeable change in temperatures across the Northeast, with much cooler air expected to settle into the region beginning Friday.
AccuWeather predicts highs across much of the interior Northeast will range from the 40s to around 50 degrees this weekend, several degrees below historical averages for early November. Along the mid-Atlantic coast, temperatures will be somewhat milder, with breaks of sunshine potentially allowing highs to reach the 50s and lower 60s.
Some higher elevations in the interior Northeast could even see a few wet snowflakes mixed in with showers.
Despite the cooler conditions, forecasters say this is not expected to be an Arctic blast. Rather, chilly air will develop over the Great Lakes and Northeast as a storm moves through the region. The combination of rain and cooler temperatures could also help reduce wildfire concerns after weeks of dry conditions.
“Showers and cooler air are expected to lower the wildfire risk despite breezy conditions this weekend,” Anderson said.
Related: This Airport Is the Most Weather-Delayed During the Holidays (Hint: It’s Not in New York)
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