Week 8 is in the books, and the top of the Super Bowl LXI odds board looks the same as it did a week ago. The Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers are still the two favorites. Right behind them, though, is a team that just went into Seattle on Monday night and ran the Seahawks off their own field. Yes, the Bears.
Here is where the Super Bowl LXI odds stand after Week 8, what moved, and which prices I actually like.
Super Bowl LXI Odds After Week 8
Prices below are from DraftKings as of Tuesday morning, with the range at bet365, BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel next to them. The other four books posted their numbers Monday.
San Francisco 49ers: +580 at DraftKings (+580 to +600 elsewhere) Buffalo Bills: +600 at DraftKings (+550 at the other four books) Chicago Bears: +950 at DraftKings (+850 to +900 elsewhere) Jacksonville Jaguars: +950 at DraftKings (+900 to +1000 elsewhere) Kansas City Chiefs: +1000 at DraftKings (+1000 to +1200 elsewhere) Seattle Seahawks: +1050 at DraftKings (+1200 to +1400 elsewhere) Los Angeles Rams: +1100 at DraftKings (+1100 to +1200 elsewhere) Cincinnati Bengals: +1400 at DraftKings (+1400 to +1700 elsewhere) Denver Broncos: +1600 at DraftKings Detroit Lions, New England Patriots, and Minnesota Vikings: +1900 each at DraftKingsSo who is the favorite? Depends where you look. DraftKings has the 49ers a hair ahead. Every other major book has Buffalo on top at +550. Either way, those two are in a tier of their own, and nobody else is shorter than +850.
The Bills and 49ers Hold the Top Spots
Buffalo is 6-1 and just handed Baltimore a 36-10 beating on Sunday. That game got even uglier for the Ravens when Lamar Jackson hurt his right thumb on the first offensive snap. More on that below.
The 49ers did not even play. San Francisco was on its bye at 6-1, coming off its first loss of the season in Atlanta. The front office stayed busy anyway, bringing DeForest Buckner back from Indianapolis for a 2027 fourth-round pick. Kyle Shanahan also said Christian McCaffrey’s hamstring strain is mild and that he is optimistic coming out of the bye.
Here is the thing about San Francisco. The NFC West price is -420 at DraftKings. The market thinks the division is basically over, and a division title is the cleanest road to a first-round bye. That is a big part of why the 49ers sit at the top.
At +580, the implied probability on the 49ers is roughly 14.7 percent. Buffalo at +550 works out to about 15.4 percent. Neither price excites me. You are paying full freight for the two teams everyone already agrees on.
Jan 12, 2025; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs for a gain during the fourth quarter as Denver Broncos defensive end Zach Allen (99) defends in an AFC wild card game at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn ImagesThe Bears Are Third After Week 8
This is the part Chicago fans want to read. The Bears beat Seattle 34-17 on Monday Night Football, and it was not close. Caleb Williams threw a touchdown on the opening drive. Jeffery Simmons was a problem all night in his Bears debut. Seattle finished with 252 yards and went 1 of 11 on third down.
The market reacted fast. Chicago went from +1100 to +950 at DraftKings. The NFC price dropped from +700 to +550, and the NFC North price went from +265 to +184.
And the Williams MVP price? It went from +1400 to +500 at DraftKings in one night. That is a massive move for one game, even a road win on national TV.
Is +950 still worth it? I think the Bears are a real contender now. And here is a small gift: DraftKings is actually the longest price on Chicago. FanDuel, bet365, and Caesars sat at +850 on Monday, so if you want a Bears ticket, +950 is the number to take. Those other books may have moved by the time you read this, so shop before you bet.
One worry. DE Grady Jarrett (groin) and DT Kentavius Street (knee) both left Monday’s game, and there was no update on either. Tampa Bay visits Sunday night, and Chicago is a 6 to 6.5-point favorite.
The Biggest Super Bowl Odds Movers From Week 8
Baltimore Ravens: +4000 to +10000
Nobody fell harder. Jackson needs surgery on his right thumb and is headed to injured reserve, and Jesse Minter said it is potentially season-ending. Backup Tyler Huntley has a suspected turf toe and probably will not play Thursday. That likely leaves undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano to make his first NFL start against Jacksonville.
The Ravens were +1300 before kickoff Sunday. They are +10000 now at DraftKings and as long as +22500 at FanDuel. Baltimore is 4-4 with three straight losses, and the Jaguars are 8.5 to 9.5-point road favorites Thursday night.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Up to +950
The Jaguars came off their bye and routed Indianapolis 42-7. They are 5-2 and three games clear in the AFC South, where they are -700 at DraftKings. The AFC price shortened from +480 to +420.
There is a cost, though. NT DaVon Hamilton (torn quad) and FS Eric Murray (elbow) are out for the season. That is two starters gone on the same day.
Cincinnati Bengals: +1500 to +1400
Joe Burrow threw five touchdowns and ran in the winner as the Bengals beat Tennessee 43-36 in overtime. That is three straight wins. The AFC North is now Cincinnati’s to lose at -170, with Pittsburgh at +220 and Baltimore at +2000.
Detroit Lions: +1800 to +1900
Detroit beat Minnesota 19-15 and handed the Vikings their first loss. So why did the price drift? Injuries. LB Jack Campbell was carted off with a neck injury and was still in the hospital Monday, though the team called the early signs positive. S Brian Branch and DE DJ Wonnum are in the concussion protocol.
Dec 14, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) throws a pass during the second quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn ImagesTampa Bay Buccaneers: +10000 to +7400
Tampa Bay beat Atlanta 16-0 without completing a pass. Not one. The Bucs ran for a franchise-record 324 yards instead. They are 3-5, and they head to Soldier Field on Sunday night.
How to Bet Super Bowl LXI Futures in November
A futures bet ties up your money for months. That is fine, but it means the price matters more than almost anything else.
Shop every book you have. The Bears are +850 at one book and +950 at another. That gap adds up. Convert the odds to implied probability and ask if the team really wins that often. Watch the quarterback. Baltimore’s price more than doubled in a day because of one thumb. Do not chase a team right after a primetime win. The best number usually comes before the big moment, not after it.My Super Bowl LXI Odds Picks After Week 8
I am not betting the Bills or the 49ers at these prices. Both are good teams. Neither one is a bargain.
If I am adding a ticket this week, it is the Bears at +950 at DraftKings. Only the 49ers have a shorter NFC price, they just got Simmons, and Williams is playing like an MVP candidate. The concern is the Jarrett injury, and I will be watching that this week.
The one I am staying away from is Seattle. The Seahawks are 4-4 with three losses in four games. They were bad on third down Monday, and they are still missing LT Charles Cross and WR Rashid Shaheed. Even +1400 at Caesars does not tempt me.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favorite to win Super Bowl LXI after Week 8?
It depends on the book. The Bills are +550 at bet365, BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel. DraftKings has the 49ers slightly ahead at +580, with Buffalo at +600.
What are the Bears’ Super Bowl odds after Week 8?
The Bears are +950 at DraftKings after beating Seattle 34-17 on Monday night, down from +1100. They were +850 to +900 at other major books on Monday.
Why did the Ravens’ Super Bowl odds drop?
Lamar Jackson needs surgery on his right thumb and is headed to injured reserve. The Ravens moved from +4000 to +10000 at DraftKings, and backup Tyler Huntley is also dealing with a toe injury.
Which team moved the most in Super Bowl odds after Week 8?
Baltimore moved the most, falling from +4000 to +10000 at DraftKings. Tampa Bay and Chicago were among the biggest risers.
What does +950 mean in Super Bowl odds?
A $100 bet at +950 wins $950 in profit if the team wins the Super Bowl. The implied probability is about 9.5 percent.
Responsible Gambling
Futures are fun because you get months of rooting interest for one bet. That is also why they can get out of hand. Money in a futures ticket is money you cannot use until February, so only put in what you can afford to have tied up and possibly lose.
Set a budget for the whole season before you start adding tickets. It is easy to grab one team after a big win, then another after the next big win, and suddenly you hold five Super Bowl bets you never planned on.
Treat betting as entertainment, not income. Use the deposit limits and time limits your sportsbook offers, and take a break if betting stops being fun.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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