Week 7 of the NFL season is in the books, and we are starting to get a good idea of which teams can make deep playoff runs. Who will win the Super Bowl? Let’s look at the favorites according to trades on Kalshi.
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Super Bowl LXI Markets
(The 49ers are 6-1 this season. Photo: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images)The San Francisco 49ers and Buffalo Bills top the Kalshi markets for which team will win Super Bowl LXI as we head into Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season. Last year’s champions, the Seattle Seahawks, are tied for 4th as they are sitting with teams like the Bears, Jaguars, and Rams.
The 49ers are trading at 16 cents to win it all. If you bought $100 worth of contracts for them to win the Super Bowl, you would receive a payout of $590.25. The Bills, who are trading at 12 cents to win it all, would be a payout of $784.91 if you bought $100 in contracts.
Over $207 million has been traded on Kalshi on the Super Bowl LXI winner. Take a look at more contracts for this market from Kalshi.
Super Bowl LXI Winner Price SF 49ers 16 cents BUF Bills 12 cents KC Chiefs 11 cents CHI Bears 7 cents JAC Jaguars 7 cents SEA Seahawks 7 cents LA Rams 7 cents BAL Ravens 6 cents CIN Bengals 6 cents MIN Vikings 5 cents DEN Broncos 5 cents DET Lions 4 cents49ers Coming Off First Loss
(The 49ers fell to the Falcons this past Sunday. Photo: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images)Kalshi markets have the 49ers as the Super Bowl favorite as San Francisco is 6-1 this season and currently the No. 2 seed in the NFC. The 49ers are coming off a 29-20 loss to the Falcons on the road that saw Brock Purdy throw 2 interceptions. The 49ers are beat up and thankfully heading into a bye week. These injuries include Nick Bosa (knee), Deebo Samuel (hamstring), Upton Stout (shoulder), and Demarcus Robinson (ankle).
The schedule has some tough games in the second half of the season, including matchups with the Vikings (6-0) in Week 11, the Seahawks (4-3) in Week 12, the Rams (3-4) in Week 14, and the Chiefs (5-1) in Week 16.
Bills are 2nd in the AFC
(Josh Allen and the Bills are 5-1 this season. Photo: David Brytus-Imagn Images)The Bills are 5-1 and coming off a bye week as they got a little extra time to prepare for a huge matchup with the Baltimore Ravens in Week 8 in Buffalo. The Bills are sitting in first place in the AFC East behind quarterback Josh Allen, who has 17 total touchdowns this season (9 pass, 8 rush).
Buffalo will have plenty of chances to prove that they have what it takes to make a deep playoff run as the schedule is loaded with tough opponents. After the Ravens, it’s the Vikings (6-0) in Week 9. Week 12 is a battle against the Chiefs (5-1) before a stretch against the Patriots (4-3), Packers (4-3), Bears (5-2), and Broncos (5-2).
Chiefs are No. 1 in the AFC
(The Chiefs are the top team in the AFC, but they are coming off a loss to the Seahawks on SNF. Photo: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images)The Kansas City Chiefs are trading at 11 cents to win the Super Bowl as the AFC West leader is 5-1 to start the 2026 campaign. The loss came on Sunday Night Football just a few days ago in a 20-3 game against the Seahawks. Patrick Mahomes threw for just 165 yards with an interception in the loss, while Kenneth Walker was held to just 36 rushing yards against his former team.
A good number of tests are ahead for Kansas City as the team faces the Broncos (5-2) in Week 8, the Bills (5-1) in Week 12, the Rams (3-4) in Week 13, the Bengals (4-2) in Week 14, the Patriots (4-3) in Week 15, and the 49ers (6-1) in Week 16. It’s not an easy second half of the season for the Chiefs.
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