FCS Playoff Bracket Predictions: The Field Has a Different Look After Montana State’s Loss ...Middle East

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The Big Sky and Missouri Valley powers will be there, but who else? With many strong teams to pick from, here are FCS playoff bracket predictions following six weeks of games.

If the FCS football playoffs began today, they would look a lot different from last year.

Our bracket projection says so. Trust us, it’s never wrong.

Sure, you’ve noticed Gardner-Webb, ETSU and Austin Peay are in the bracket. Northern Arizona and Idaho State, too. Plus, Campbell and Richmond. Yup, a small handful of different teams from 2025.

But the reason the bracket has really taken on a new look is because late Friday night, winless Idaho took a wrecking ball to it and knocked down defending national champion Montana State.

The Road to Nashville has taken on a whole bunch of new twists and turns.

FCS Playoffs: Projected Bids by Conference

*-Automatic qualifier (11 overall); other teams projected as at-large selections (13 overall)

Big Sky (5): Idaho State, *Montana, Montana State, Northern Arizona, UC Davis

CAA Football (1): *Campbell

Ivy League (1): *Harvard

Missouri Valley (5): Illinois State, North Dakota, South Dakota, *South Dakota State, Youngstown State

Northeast (1): *Central Connecticut State

Ohio Valley (1): *Gardner-Webb

Patriot League (2): *Lehigh, Richmond

Pioneer League (1): *Drake

Southern (2): *ETSU, Tennessee Tech

Southland (3): Lamar, Southeastern Louisiana, *Stephen F. Austin

United Athletic (2): Austin Peay, *Tarleton State

First Four Teams Out: Colgate, Mercer, Monmouth, North Alabama

Projected Pairings

Gardner-Webb at No. 16 seed Tennessee Tech, winner at No. 1 seed South Dakota State

ETSU at No. 9 seed Austin Peay, winner at No. 8 seed Youngstown State

Harvard at No. 15 seed Northern Arizona, winner at No. 5 seed Stephen F. Austin

Southeastern Louisiana at No. 13 UC Davis, winner at No. 4 seed Montana State

Central Connecticut State at No. 14 seed Idaho State, winner at No. 3 seed Tarleton State

Campbell at No. 11 seed Lamar, winner at No. 6 seed Lehigh

Richmond at No. 10 seed South Dakota, winner at No. 7 seed North Dakota

Drake at No. 15 seed Illinois State, winner at No. 2 seed Montana

FCS Playoff Bracket: 2026 Key Dates to Know

ESPN Networks; Times ET

Playoff Selection Show: Nov. 22

First Round: Nov. 28

Second Round: Dec. 5

Quarterfinals: Dec. 11 (9 p.m., ESPN) and 12 (noon, and 8 p.m., ESPN; TBD, ESPN+)

Semifinals: Dec. 19 (4 p.m., ABC; 8 p.m., ESPN2)

Championship Game: Jan. 11 (7:30 p.m., ESPN) at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee  

For more FCS football coverage, follow at X, Facebook, Instagram and Bluesky.

FCS Playoff Bracket Predictions: The Field Has a Different Look After Montana State’s Loss Opta Analyst.

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