Which means that despite Trump's best efforts to prop up fossil fuels, America will transform its electricity system. The question is how fast. And that speed is up to us.
The problem is what was built before. Today, 57% of America's power is generated from burning fossil fuels, compared to just 43% from clean sources. Even with solar and wind dominating new builds, our legacy system still uses dirty energy, which takes time to replace.
The JH Campbell power plant in Michigan that Trump had ordered to be kept operating. (Image credit: UCG via Getty Images)
Despite Trump's attempts to revive a dying industry, the coal industry remains in deep decline – down 43% since 2010. Coal cannot compete on cost or reliability. Without expensive government welfare, coal is on its way out.
Skeptics raise two objections. First, rising electricity demand from AI, data centers and electrification means that we can't generate enough power with clean energy alone, and therefore we need to keep gas on the grid. Second, Trump's hostility — namely expiring tax credits and tariffs on solar panels and batteries — will stall the build-out.
As for Trump: his administration won't be around forever. And rising electricity prices have become a central issue in this year's midterms. Politicians promising affordability will turn to the cheapest way to power households: clean energy. And the market will keep the transition moving no matter who's in the White House.
Solar energy production, such as that produced by this solar panel array near Lancaster, California, now outpaces energy production from coal. (Image credit: Mario Tama via Getty Images)We can also use electric machines to soak up power when it's fossil-free. That happens in the middle of the day, when cheap solar floods the system. With the right controls, an electric water heater can also be a battery: heat the tank at noon, and tonight's shower is stored sunshine. Heat pumps can pre-cool or pre-heat a home before evening the same way. Charge electric cars at work and your commute is solar-powered.
Exclusive to Live Science ProAnd none of this requires the federal government. States can make midday power cheap, or even free, and pay households to shift their usage. Cities can write building codes that make flexible electric machines the default replacement. Do that at scale and we can serve growing demand with the grid we already have.
So is a clean grid realistic? Yes. The only real question is how fast we replace the old one. And that's largely up to us.
Help us improve Live Science Pro: We're always trying to make our content better. Leave us feedback about Pro here.
MIT Press The Carbon Wave: a Story of Democracy, Parenthood, and the Race to Protect Our PlanetInterlacing personal narratives with stories from Congress, the White House, and outside activists, Stokes shows how dogged perseverance and collective action can still bend the course of history. The book concludes with an update from the second Trump administration, explaining the parts of the bill that were—and were not—rolled back, and why we should remain hopeful that progress is still being made.
Read an excerpt from "The Carbon Wave" here
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