Donald Trump did not need to be in Texas on Wednesday evening. He was giving the keynote speech at the first-ever midterm Republican convention – an event viewed as a cynical cash grab even by some within the President’s own party.
Trump, who loves a show, had hoped for big crowds, big money and all the attention that goes with that for his big event, which had quickly been dubbed by his fans as the “Trumpapalooza”.
But the shine seemed to have come off the event even before the President got to his lectern. Sales had reportedly been disappointing. Big-name candidates up for re-election have almost all stayed well away from the event. At one stage in his nearly two-hour speech, Trump told the crowd: “I didn’t need to be here tonight. I could’ve been in a nice place somewhere in the world.”
If any Democrat – let alone a Democratic president – had even dared to imply that Texas was not a “nice place”, it would get blanket coverage for weeks, and be used in attack ads against Democrats for years to come. Trump, of course, will almost certainly get away with it unscathed, but it was hardly the only gaffe in Trump’s long and rambling remarks.
For most of the time, the US President promised that if the American public would just vote Republican in the midterms – which polls currently suggest will heavily favour the Democrats – he will pass a flurry of big, splashy legislation.
Trump promised to pass a “No Invasion Of Our Country Act”, a “Great Healthcare Plan” which would “stop all government payments to the big insurance companies”, end “no-cash bail” and expand the use of the death penalty.
Much of this was classic red meat to his base, though even some Maga die-hards might be alarmed by cuts to subsidies to the health insurance upon which they rely. But anyone paying attention might notice that Trump has been President for almost two years, where he’s had control of both the House and the Senate for all of that time, and passed none of these laws.
In fact, other than the Big Beautiful Bill – which spent the money Trump claimed the government would make from tariffs in advance, largely on tax cuts for the rich – Congress has passed almost nothing of note during Trump’s second term. The idea that it could suddenly pass major legislation during the final lame duck years of Trump’s presidency, at a time when his popularity is hitting all-time lows, is largely ridiculous.
Trump had more to come. He decided to briefly remind the crowd of his deeply unpopular war in Iran by suggesting the Strait of Hormuz should be renamed the “Trump Strait”, because “I should get something out of it”, before suggesting the state of New Mexico should be renamed “New America”.
The President had something bigger up his sleeve, though: Trump’s big reveal was a huge election promise to the nation. Vote Republican in the midterms, he claimed, “and you get $5,000”. Having not tired of trying to name things after himself, Trump said it would be called “the Trump dividend”, before telling the nation “congratulations”.
To call this desperate would be the understatement of the Trump presidency. (Questions have also been asked about whether such a move would be legal). The President has tried this trick several times before, desperate to repeat the popularity boost he got when he sent out public assistance funds during Covid-19 in the form of a cheque “personally” signed by him.
He promised the American public a “Doge dividend” of up to $5,000, and then promised a “tariff rebate”, from all the revenue his tariffs would supposedly raise from foreign companies – even though in practice they are paid by US consumers. Doge’s savings never materialised, and most of Trump’s tariffs were found to be unlawful by the Supreme Court – meaning his handouts never materialised either.
Now, with the US deficit already maxed out by his Big Beautiful Bill, the cost of borrowing going up and the US having to find the money to fund Trump’s Iran war, only the most die-hard Trump loyalist could possibly believe he has even the slightest hope of finding $5,000 for every American adult, at a cost of more than a trillion dollars.
The President is just repeating old promises that he never delivered on, without admitting that he failed to do so, and with no plan on how he is going to do it this time. Even if the US electorate was up for being bribed, it will only work if they find it plausible – and very, very few voters are likely to do so.
Trump has made a desperate move to the US electorate. The danger for him is that they’ll just find it even more of a turn-off when they get to the ballot booth.
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