The U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding last week, signaling the beginning of the end to a war that has killed thousands in Iran and disrupted global trade. The agreement led to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran militarized after the U.S. and Israel launched the war on Feb. 28, causing surging gas prices to fall dramatically although still above pre-war levels.
And only 23% of respondents, including half of all Republican respondents, believe the U.S. is now in a stronger position with regard to Iran than it was before the war. Thirty-five percent of respondents think the U.S. is now in a weaker position.
The MOU has also faced heavy criticism from Israeli officials, who have long said they cannot allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon. Iran agreed in the MOU to never seek a nuclear weapon, which has always been its stated position, including before the war. Analysts have raised concerns that Israel’s dissatisfaction with the MOU will incentivize it to escalate its attacks on Lebanon in order to jeopardize U.S.-Iran diplomacy. The MOU states that the cease-fire applies broadly to the region, including Lebanon.
Sixty-three percent of Americans polled by Reuters/Ipsos think it is unlikely that the MOU will lead to lasting peace between the U.S. and Iran. That includes around half of Republicans and 80% of Democrats. Only 18% of Americans, including 34% of Republicans and 10% of Democrats, think the deal will deliver lasting peace.
Of 2,519 American adults surveyed by CBS/YouGov from June 17 to 19, 57% believe the war led to more problems than it solved, while 21% believe otherwise.
“While it is difficult to say that Iran won given the state of the economy and the internal political instability, it’s even more difficult to see this as a victory for Trump,” says William Figueroa, an assistant professor of international relations at the University of Groningen. “Almost all of the concessions or changes from pre-war policy are on the U.S. side.”
Just 31% of respondents in the CBS/YouGov poll believe that the U.S. has permanently stopped Iran’s nuclear program, whereas 69% said they do not think the U.S. has done so.
The Trump Administration has also not expressed a clear goal when it comes to Iran’s leadership, with Trump at times suggesting that the U.S.-Israeli strikes achieved regime change by wiping out several dozen Iranian leaders. At other times Trump officials have insisted that the U.S.’s objective was not regime change. Earlier this month Trump said he “never cared about regime change” and said Iran’s current leaders are “strong, smart” and “rational people” who are “nice to deal with.”
Sixty-eight percent of respondents said they did not think the U.S. had stopped Iran from threatening other countries, and 79% do not believe that the war has made Iran’s leadership pro-U.S. Seventy-four percent also do not believe the U.S. has made Iran’s people safe and free, which Trump had promised to do in January when the Iranian government led a deadly crackdown on protesters.
Figueroa notes that “Trump’s willingness to even discuss ending decades of economic warfare” against Iran is an “encouraging sign” for the Gulf country. The economic concessions are a “desperately needed” boost for the Iranian people who are facing runaway inflation and a collapsing economy, Figueroa says.
Although a majority of Americans—78% of respondents—believe that the U.S. should end the war now, just 34% believe that the MOU was reached because the U.S. has met its goals. Instead, 66% believe that the Trump Administration agreed to the MOU mainly because it wants the conflict to be over.
Read More: Gas Prices Could Take Months to Return to Pre-War Levels Even After U.S.-Iran Deal
Divisions along partisan lines
Just 34% of Americans approve of Trump’s approach to Iran, an Associated Press/NORC nationwide poll of 3,040 adults showed. But most Republicans hold more positive views of the Administration’s handling of the conflict than Democrats or Independents do: 71% of Republicans approve of Trump in terms of Iran, as compared to 22% of Independents and 8% of Democrats. Just 35% of Americans approve of Trump’s policy towards Israel, which includes 71% of Republicans, 23% of Independents, and just 9% of Democrats that approve.
The survey took place from June 11 to June 17, meaning that some responses were collected before Trump announced that a U.S.-Iran agreement had been reached on June 14.
Trump’s approval rating at lowest of second term
Trump’s approval ratings have dropped to their lowest of his second term. At the start of his second term, Trump had a 47% approval rating based on a Reuters/Ipsos poll in January 2025. That has slipped to 34% in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, tying with his second-term record low approval rating in late April.
Americans showed even more disapproval of how the Trump Administration has managed cost-of-living. Trump’s approval rating on the cost-of-living stood at 22% in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, similar to its levels in polls taken through April and May.
Read More: Americans Sour on Trump Over Inflation and the Iran War
There is also a partisan divide in terms of Trump’s approval ratings, according to the AP/NORC poll. Around 78% of Republicans approve of Trump, while just 26% of Independents and 7% of Democrats approve of him.
In terms of the economy, Trump has an overall approval rating of 33%. Broken down by party affiliation, 69% of Republicans, 23% of Independents and 7% of Democrats approve of the job Trump has done for the economy.
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