How Will the New Prime Minister Be Chosen—and How Soon Could They Be in Downing Street? ...Middle East

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Andy Burnham with colleagues from the Parliamentary Labour Party in Westminster Hall at the Houses of Parliament in central London on June 22, 2026. —Yui Mok—Getty Images

Andy Burnham, the newly sworn-in Member of Parliament for Makerfield, is on course to replace him.

Burnham received a cheering welcome as he posed for a photo with around 200 Labour MPs in Westminster Hall.

Among Labour lawmakers, so far as Burnham is concerned, the mood “seems to be moving very swiftly towards the coronation route, not the competition route,” Tony Travers, a professor in public policy at the London School of Economics, tells TIME.

When a Labour Party leader resigns, under party rules a contest for a new leader is automatically triggered, according to the Institute for Government. Chaired by Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood, the NEC's primary purpose is to “provide strategic direction for the party as a whole.”

This plan would give ample time for people to launch leadership bids and, if a contest were to arise, the new leader could still be in Downing Street by the time parliament returns in September.

Who can launch a leadership bid?

To enter a leadership contest, the candidate has to have the backing of at least 20% of the party’s MPs. With 403 Labour lawmakers currently in the House of Commons, this equates to 81 lawmakers, including the challenger.

Should a leadership contest take place, all candidates will be put on a ballot for a first round of voting. 

Voters will rank candidates based on their preference. Should one candidate win over 50% of the first preference votes, then they will win the contest.

What happens if there’s only one candidate?

This may well be the scenario in this particular leadership transition, as Burnham currently has a clear path to Downing Street.

If Burnham remains unchallenged, it’s possible he could be in Downing Street as early as July 17, or sooner, experts tell TIME.

“If everyone else rules themself out on day one, there would be no point in waiting a week for nominations to close."

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