An independent assessment published by the global carbon accounting platform Greenly estimates that the 2026 FIFA World Cup could generate 7.8 million metric tons of carbon dioxide—more than double the official reported emissions for the 2022 FIFA world cup in Qatar and equivalent to that of Sierra Leone.
The Greenly team drew on publicly available data to predict the 2026 World Cup’s total greenhouse gas footprint—covering team flights, spectator travel, stadium operations, renovations, accommodation, logistics, and waste.
Despite overall higher expected emissions, there are some categories in which the 2026 World Cup is expected to be less carbon intensive than 2022. While Qatar built seven entirely new stadiums, causing infrastructure to account for 24.6% of its total footprint, the 2026 tournament will use a number of existing venues, bringing that figure down to just 3.1%. U.S. hotels are also roughly six times less carbon-intensive than those in Qatar, which relied on continuous industrial air conditioning to combat desert heat.
In 2021, at the annual U.N. climate conference, COP26, FIFA committed to cutting emissions by 50% by 2030 and reaching carbon neutrality by 2040 under the U.N. Sports for Climate Action Framework. But while its sustainability strategy for 2026 covers energy efficiency, waste, and logistics, it does not set a carbon target for the tournament, and when it comes to spectator travel, it states it will: “Encourage relevant entities to set up efficient air travel routes that reduce distances.”. FIFA did not respond to TIME’s request for comment ahead of publication.
“They used the event as an opportunity to decarbonize their own infrastructures, they renovated their railway networks, they renovated their stadiums to be less emissive, and use less energy,” Normand says.
It’s a model other cities and events organizers should look to follow, Greenly argues. “You have this huge spending surplus that results from essentially organizing a world-class event,” Normand says. “Use it as a Marshall Plan for upgrading your infrastructures for the future net-zero economy. But for that to happen, you actually have to think of the problem, which unfortunately hasn't happened.”
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