Tuesday’s primary in Kentucky will measure if someone who runs afoul of Trump can survive in this Trump-saturated environment. Massie seems unbowed and is touting his rift with the White House as a selling point for another term. A rebel without a coalition, Massie voted against the President’s tax cuts, saying they were too irresponsible with red ink. He hates the war in Iran and hasn’t been afraid to say so. He’s been critical of political money for Israel. And he led the charge to open the Epstein files over Trump’s objections.
This is a President whose agenda can only be described in one bitter word: vengeance. It’s bad for the steady-as-she-goes wing of the Republican Party, a hurdle for a GOP that sees the writing on the wall as voters are souring by the hour on that party’s brand, and a frustration of the party strategists desperate to hold the line against historical headwinds.
Kentucky is but the latest in an R-versus-R feud, fueled by Trump’s grudges. Cassidy of Louisiana came in a distant third place over the weekend as he sought another term. Rep. Julia Letlow secured the largest share of the vote, thanks to Trump’s enthusiastic endorsement; state Treasurer John Fleming came in second. Both head to a runoff for a seat that is, honestly, a safe hold for the Republicans but nevertheless a huge financial drain on the party’s donor lists.
Cassidy’s defeat—despite his staid reputation in the Senate as a solid conservative and serious lawmaker—comes on the heels of the intra-party feud in Indiana two weeks ago that proved the Republican Party is whatever Trump says it is. Republicans who refused to quickly redraw House district borders to help their own party fell in a swoop of Trump vitriol—and $13 million in campaign cash. It was a party purge of elected officials well below where previous White Houses tended to train focus.
This all comes as Trump’s approval ratings have hit a hard skid. His support among independents is basically gone. But very conservative voters—his base—are still with him. And that’s where primaries are usually decided. It can cause chaos at the moment but it may prove insufficient come November. All the while, it may set ablaze money that could have been better used defending incumbent Republicans in legitimate swing seats.
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