ROCHESTER, N.Y. – If you remember the historic Lake Ontario flooding of 2019, you know just how devastating high-water levels can become. Homes were inundated, roads disappeared under water, and shoreline communities faced weeks of uncertainty.
Right now, Lake Ontario’s water level sits at just over 247 feet, which is above seasonal averages and still rising. The good news is that the pace of the increase has begun to slow.
Latest Lake Ontario Measurements as of May 11 are:
Current Level: 247.18 feet Average for This Time of Year: 246.00 feet Record Level for This Date: 248.39 feet (set in 1973)Recent lake level charts show a sharp rise beginning in March and continuing through April, coinciding with our exceptionally wet spring pattern.
According to the latest forecast from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, water levels could remain near current levels through June 8. If that forecast holds, the risk for significant additional flooding would decrease. However, there is still considerable uncertainty in the outlook.
Several factors will determine what happens next:
All of the Great Lakes remain unusually high, increasing inflow into Lake Ontario from Lake Erie. Water outflow through the St. Lawrence River continues to play a critical role in regulating lake levels. Additional rainfall across the Great Lakes basin over the coming weeks could quickly change the forecast.The next month will be especially important in determining whether shoreline flooding becomes a larger concern once again.
First Alert Weather In-Depth: The next month will be critical for Lake Ontario WHEC.com.
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