An analysis published by Tasnim News Agency, anIranian state-affiliated outlet, argues that US and Israeli forces haveachieved clear tactical superiority over Iran through artificialintelligence-driven warfare, but have failed to convert that advantage intostrategic success — a conclusion the agency attributes to the fundamentallimitations of AI at the level of political and military strategy.
Tasnim argues, however, that these tacticalgains have not produced strategic outcomes, contending that AI systems arestructurally incapable of answering the questions that determine the course ofa war: whether escalation serves or undermines a given objective, whether amilitary action deters an adversary or hardens its resolve, and what level ofsustained pressure remains manageable without triggering uncontrolledescalation.
The agency cites discussions at the CarnegieEndowment for International Peace as supporting the view that deploying AI atthe strategic level faces serious and unresolved difficulties.
The analysis also warns of what it calls theillusion of control —a condition in which commanders, given access to precisereal-time data and rapid decision-making tools, develop an overconfidence intheir ability to manage the battlefield, while deeper layers of conflict,including political dynamics, social cohesion, and the psychology of war,remain beyond algorithmic reach. Tasnim draws on historical precedent, citing USmilitary engagements in Vietnam and Iraq as cases where operational precisionfailed to compensate for the absence of coherent strategic objectives.
The piece concludes that tactical success andstrategic stalemate are not contradictory in AI-era warfare but are in fact itsdefining feature, and that the decisive factor in modern conflict remains humanjudgment, the capacity to manage uncertainty, and the ability to understandcomplexity —qualities it attributes to Iran's conduct in the current war.
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