The Tampa Bay Lightning are -164 favorites over the Ottawa Senators (+137) playing on home ice on Saturday at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa.
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Lightning vs. Senators Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Favorite: Lightning (-164) Underdog: Senators (+137) Total: 6Best Lightning vs. Senators Promo Codes
How to Watch Lightning vs. Senators
Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026 Time: 1 p.m. ET How to watch on TV: ESPN+ Location: Tampa, Florida Venue: Benchmark International Arena Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+Buy NHL tickets on Vivid Seats!
Lightning 2025-26 Stats & Rankings
Stat Per-Game Average Rank Goals Scored 3.61 2nd Goals Allowed 2.77 3rd Shots 28.2 14th Shots Allowed 26.7 9th Power Play % 22.9% 12th Penalty Kill % 81.82% 6thLightning Betting Info
The Lightning have gone 36-23 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season. Tampa Bay is 20-10 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -164 or shorter. The Lightning have an implied moneyline win probability of 62.1% in this matchup. Tampa Bay’s 71 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6 goals 44 times.Senators 2025-26 Stats & Rankings
Stat Per-Game Average Rank Goals Scored 3.32 9th Goals Allowed 3.04 16th Shots 28.9 9th Shots Allowed 24.1 2nd Power Play % 23.18% 10th Penalty Kill % 74.76% 30thSenators Betting Info
The Senators have been made an underdog 19 times this season, and won seven, or 36.8%, of those games. Ottawa is 2-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +137 or more on the moneyline. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 42.2% chance of victory for the Senators. Ottawa has played 39 games this season that finished with over 6 goals.Lightning vs. Senators Injury Report
Lightning:
Declan Carlile: Undisclosed (Out),
Max Crozier: Abdomen (Out),
Dominic James: Leg (Out),
Victor Hedman: Illness (Out)
Senators:
Nick Jensen: Lower Body (Out),
Lassi Thomson: Lower Body (Out),
Dennis Gilbert: Upper Body (Out),
Jake Sanderson: Upper Body (Out),
Thomas Chabot: Arm (Out)
Lightning vs. Senators Prediction and Pick
We anticipate the Lightning (-164 on the moneyline) to topple the Senators (+137 on the moneyline). Based on our analysis of this matchup’s historical data, we recommend betting on the over at 6 goals.
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