Now there’s been another absurd turn in this saga. The Detroit News has a striking new piece reporting that Trump’s aggression toward Canada is hurting the Michigan economy in another way: by slashing the flow of Canadians who cross into neighboring border states like Michigan, where they spend lots of money.
Canadian visits to southeast Michigan fell 30% from 2024 to 2025, said Visit Detroit CEO Claude Molinari.
Apparently Canadians take a dimmer view of the United States when its president arbitrarily hits their country with destructive, ill-conceived tariffs, recklessly blows up cross-border projects, threatens to seize it by force, and even daydreams openly about reducing it to a vassal state. While Canadian travel to the U.S. has been declining for some time, the News notes, the “severity of 2025’s drop was unique.”
As it happens, there are at least three competitive races in Michigan over GOP-controlled House seats whose outcome could help determine control of the House. Also up for grabs is retiring Democratic Senator Gary Peters’s open seat, an essential hold if Democrats are to have any chance of winning the Senate.
“Michigan and Ontario are uniquely connected,” Christina Hines, a former prosecutor who’s running for that seat as a Democrat, told me. “We should be protecting cross-border trade and cooperation—not escalating conflict.”
Now, Democrats say, they will highlight the broader damage that Trump’s crazed obsession with Canada has done to the state—and use it against vulnerable GOP Representatives Bill Huizenga and Tom Barrett in the 4th and 10th districts as well. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spokesperson Katie Smith told me: “We will ensure voters know that Michigan Republicans fully stood by Trump’s unprovoked, reckless attacks on a major trading partner that are hurting Michigan’s economy and costing families.”
As I’ve noted before, certain commentators discerned in his 2024 victory a durable shift toward Trumpist nationalism at a deep cultural level. Yet since then, voters have seen Trump’s paramilitary goons violently snatching immigrants from their communities, and they’ve turned against such deportations in a big way. Support for immigration as a positive national good has soared. Trump’s tariffs are deeply unpopular, not just because they hike costs but also because rising percentages view trade itself as a good thing.
Yet Trump still seems to believe that Americans will rally to his belligerent economic nationalism all the same. He thinks they will reflexively continue to see everything through the lens of zero-sum conflict, just as he does.
“If we are able to take back the House,” Democratic House candidate Hines told me, then “we can improve our relationship with Canada. We’ll see visits jump back up as people feel like they have a reliable partner in the United States again.”
In short: It’s often suggested that Trumpism has tapped into a deep cultural zeitgeist. But we may actually be seeing a cultural backlash in the other direction: in favor of immigration, trade, and—let’s get really crazy here—positive-sum international interdependence. In U.S. politics, believe it or not, stranger things have happened.
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