Tonight in Glendale, a defensive juggernaut meets a high-octane offense as Miami vs Ole Miss kicks off the 2025-26 College Football Playoff Semifinals at The Fiesta Bowl. The Rebels (13–1) arrive as one of the nation’s most prolific scoring threats, led by quarterback Trinidad Chambliss and fresh off a thrilling Sugar Bowl upset over Georgia. They face a relentless Hurricanes squad (12–2) that has ridden a top-five scoring defense to consecutive playoff victories over Texas A&M and Ohio State. So, before they kick it off at State Farm Stadium, let’s take a look at the Miami vs Ole Miss odds and touchdown props for the game.
Miami vs Ole Miss Fiesta Bowl Game Info
Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET Location: State Farm Stadium | Glendale, AZ TV: ESPN Streaming: ESPN UnlimitedMiami vs Ole Miss Odds
*Amber Searls-Imagn ImagesThe Hurricanes enter tonight’s Fiesta Bowl as 3-point favorites, a testament to a defense that has transformed into a “no-fly zone” during this postseason run. After stifling Ohio State in the quarterfinals, Miami’s defensive front now faces its steepest challenge yet in trying to contain the Rebels’ tempo. For bettors looking at the total, the over/under is currently posted at 52.5, reflecting Miami’s grind-it-out physical style and Mississippi’s “microwave” offense that thrives on quick-strike possessions. Both squads are capable of shot plays, which is certainly keeping the total as high as it is.
Miami sits as a -162 moneyline favorite, while Ole Miss offers an intriguing +136 return for those banking on a Rebel upset. While Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has been nearly perfect this season, he is facing a Miami unit that leads the nation in pass-rush productivity. If the Hurricanes can control the clock and keep Chambliss on the sideline, they have a good chance at covering the spread. However, with the Rebels coming off a 39-point explosion against Georgia, any early defensive lapses from “The U” could quickly turn this into a high-scoring shootout that favors the underdog. See the Miami vs Ole Miss odds below.
Spread: Miami -3 (-118) | Ole Miss +3 (-102) Total: Over 52.5 (-110) | Under 52.5 (-110) Money: Miami -162 | Ole Miss +136Miami vs Ole Miss Fiesta Bowl Touchdown Odds
*Raymond Carlin III-Imagn ImagesThe touchdown odds for tonight’s Miami vs Ole Miss Fiesta Bowl present plenty of options. Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. sits as the favorite to score at -270, a nod to his workhorse role in a Miami offense that ranks 18th nationally in red-zone efficiency. For those looking at the perimeter, Miami wideout CJ Daniels (+155) has emerged as a favorite target of Carson Beck in scoring territory, while freshman standout Malachi Toney (+100) remains a constant threat to break a long one.
For the Rebels, the value is centered on Kewan Lacy (-195), who enters tonight having already set a school record with 23 rushing touchdowns this season. However, the true wild card for Ole Miss is dual-threat quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, whose anytime touchdown odds sit at +215. Chambliss has already punched in eight scores on the ground this year and is coming off a massive performance in the Sugar Bowl. He remains the focal point of the Ole Miss offense and their ability to pierce Miami’s top-ranked scoring defense. See all the Miami vs Ole Miss Anytime Touchdown odds below.
Mark Fletcher (MIA) -270 Kewan Lacy (MISS) -195 Malachai Toney (MIA) +100 CJ Daniels (MIA) +155 De’Zhaun Stribling (MISS) +195 Harrison Wallace III (MISS) +210 Trinidad Chambliss (MISS) +215 CharMar Brown (MIA) +240 Dae’Quan Wright (MISS) +285 Deuce Alexander (MISS) +295 Keelan Marion (MIA) +310 Girard Pringle Jr. (MIA) +340 Cayden Lee (MISS) +350 Carson Beck (MIA) +400 Elija Lofton (MIA) +475 Miami D/ST +500 Luke Hasz (MISS) +550 Ole Miss D/ST +550 Logan Diggs (MISS) +600 Winston Watkins (MISS) +650 Caleb Odom (MISS) +650 Joshua Moore (MIA) +650 Damien Taylor (MISS) +800 Alex Bauman (MIA) +800 Joshisa Trader (MIA) +850 Trace Bruckler (MISS) +900 Tony Johnson (MIA) +1100 No Touchdown +15000Elevate Your Betting Discipline: Strategy Over Guesswork
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