ROCHESTER, N.Y. – Winter enthusiasts have plenty to be pleased about so far this season. The Rochester International Airport has recorded an average seasonal snowfall of 34 inches, but this year totals are already approaching 48 inches. That places the region approximately 14 inches above normal for this point in the season.
However, a notable shift in the weather pattern is expected by the end of the week. Arctic air will retreat northward as milder air moves in from the south, driven by a change in the upper-level wind pattern. As a result, temperatures will rise and much of the existing snowpack will begin to melt.
The News10NBC First Alert meteorologists expect temperatures to climb into the mid-50s. Combined with periods of rain, this warmup should rapidly reduce snow cover and reveal lawns that have been hidden for weeks. Rainfall amounts could reach around one-half inch over the next few days, with additional moisture contributed by melting snow.
Snowmelt has a measurable liquid equivalent, and when combined with rainfall, total runoff could reach between 1.5 and 2.5 inches. This increase in runoff will cause water levels to rise in local creeks and streams. Conditions will be monitored closely, as elevated water levels could impact area tributaries.
First Alert Weather In-Depth: Winter snowpack at risk as temperatures rise WHEC.com.
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