I don’t know about you, but the first place my brain went after the Cubs whiffed on Tatsuya Imai was Alex Bregman.
Maybe that was their plan all along, I thought. They clearly like Bregman, and those starting pitcher trade rumors have never actually gone away. By signing Bregman and trading for a starter, instead of just spending big on a free agent starter, the Cubs can use some prospect capital to check off two boxes (impact for the rotation and lineup) with roughly the same amount of total money. But maybe that’s just wishful thinking.
I’d obviously love for that — or the even more recent Bo Bichette rumors — to be true. But we are so far beyond “I’ll believe it when I see it” at this point. How could any of us be more optimistic than that?
And more to the point of this post, it’s not like the latest Alex Bregman rumors are Cubbie-bullish.
Alex Bregman Rumors
At MLB.com, Mark Feinsand acknowledges that the Cubs, along with the Blue Jays, D-Backs, Red Sox, and Tigers, have been connected to Alex Bregman this offseason. But he does so before offering up the following: “Sources believe the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks may be the two most aggressive clubs in the hunt for Bregman, though a Red Sox reunion remains a possibility.”
The Blue Jays and Diamondbacks as the two most aggressive suitors (it has been trending that way lately), with the original favorites, the Red Sox, lingering as a possibility.
And he’s not alone in mentioning, but slightly boxing out, the Cubs.
At The New York Post, Jon Heyman mentions the D-Backs, Jays, and Cubs as interested parties, but clearly has most of his money on a reunion in Boston: “He’s Boston’s top offensive target after his nice season there….Bregman fits the Red Sox beautifully….”
Similarly, in a recent podcast appearance, Buster Olney took a guess that Bregman would ultimately return to the Red Sox, who’ve made an “aggressive offer,” whatever that might mean.
None of these are particularly concerning takes (for those of us who want the Cubs to land Alex Bregman). But neither are they at all optimistic. There are a handful of teams involved, including one gigantic and aggressive spender (Toronto), one incumbent with a clear fit (Boston), and one frequent surprise suitor, who just won’t go away (Arizona). And that’s ignoring the one team, Detroit, which made him the biggest and longest offer last winter.
So what am I really saying here? The sense I’m getting from the way this has trended — plus everything we know about Jed Hoyer, Tom Ricketts, and the Cubs’ spending generally — is that the Cubs are still just fine waiting back to see if they can reel in a fish like Bregman on their own terms. And I don’t say that endearingly.
I will be thrilled to be wrong, but there’s simply no reason to believe the Cubs are going to go over the top on any of these guys, perhaps Bregman especially. Not when they still have significant needs in the rotation and not a particularly strong farm system from which to satisfy those needs.
I don’t – at all – think they’re done this offseason. Truly. But I also think they’re perfectly content to get whoever they can get … as opposed to the guy they WANT the most (whether that’s Bregman or not). And that’s a shame.
***
As a reminder, Japanese free agent third baseman Kazuma Okamoto must sign by 5pm ET on Sunday, January 4, when his posting window expires. The Cubs, of course, have been connected to him all winter, including as recently as yesterday. So one way or another, the free agent third base market is going to start moving this weekend. The question is whether the Cubs are going to be involved? Also, will Alex Bregman or Bo Bichette feel the need to jump at a deal before Okamoto takes a spot?
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