The 2025-26 CFP odds have two clear favorites and predict a conference championship rematch, but in this new format, it’s truly anyone’s title to win. Will Ohio State rectify their conference title game loss and go back-to-back? Can Indiana complete an improbable undefeated season, perhaps defeating the Buckeyes once again to do so? Check out the latest 2025-26 CFP Odds before the first round gets underway this Friday.
2025-26 CFP Odds – Favorites & Longshots for Title
*Robert Goddin-Imagn ImagesAs we head into the first round of the 2025-26 College Football Playoff, the betting market is settling on another B1G showdown between the top two seeds. Despite their narrow loss in the conference title game, Ohio State remains the betting favorite at around +215, as oddsmakers still view their roster as the most complete in the country. Close on their heels is Indiana (+280), the tournament’s top seed, whose undefeated run has completely shifted their status from preseason long shot to a legitimate title threat.
Beyond the top two, Georgia (+550) sits in a strong third position after their dominant performance in the SEC Championship over Alabama, while Texas Tech (+800) and Oregon (+900) round out the top tier of contenders. For those looking for more of a “sleeper” in this 12-team field, the odds drop off significantly after the top five, with programs like Texas A&M (+2000) and Alabama (+2500) offering much higher payouts if they can navigate the bracket. It’s a wide-open field this year, and with the first-round games just days away, now is the time to strike.
Ohio State Buckeyes +215 Indiana Hoosiers +280 Georgia Bulldogs +550 Texas Tech Red Raiders +800 Oregon Ducks +900 Texas A&M Aggies +2000 Alabama Crimson Tide +2500 Ole Miss Rebels +2500 Miami Hurricanes +2500 Oklahoma +5000 James Madison Dukes +70000 Tulane Green Wave +800002025-26 College Football Playoff First Round Odds
*Sam Navarro-Imagn ImagesThe first round of the 2025-26 College Football Playoff is a wild mix of massive spreads and coin-flip matchups. On one side, you’ve got Oregon and Ole Miss entering as heavy favorites in a first-round home game. The Ducks are 21-point favorites over James Madison, and the Rebels are favored by 17.5 in their rematch against Tulane, in which Ole Miss won 45-10 back in week 4. It’s clear the books aren’t expecting much from the Group of Five this weekend, so most of the drama for bettors is whether the favorites can actually cover those huge numbers.
The real fun starts with the tighter games, especially the Friday night showdown between Alabama and Oklahoma. Even though the Sooners beat the Tide in Tuscaloosa earlier this season, Bama is actually a tiny 1.5-point favorite on the road, with a low over/under of 40.5, suggesting a defensive grind. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is holding steady as a 3-point favorite over Miami. With the Aggies’ struggling with turnovers and Miami’s top-tier red zone defense, this game could come down to the wire.
9 Alabama at 8 Oklahoma – Fri, 8:00 PM ET
Spread: Oklahoma -1.5 Total: O/U 40.5 Money: Bama -112 at OU -10810 Miami at 7 Texas A&M – Sat, 12:00 PM ET
Spread: Texas A&M -3.5 Total: O/U 49.5 Money: Miami +142 at TAMU -17011 Tulane at 6 Ole Miss – Sat, 3:30 PM ET
Spread: Ole Miss -900 Total: O/U 56.5 Money: Tulane +600 at Ole Miss -90012 James Madison at 5 Oregon – Sat, 7:30 PM ET
Spread: Oregon -21 Total: O/U 47.5 Money: JMU +1100 at Oregon -2100Elevate Your Wager Game
If you’re looking to get smarter with your picks, here’s how to keep things in check without making it feel like a chore:
Stick to a budget: Only bet what you’re genuinely okay with losing. The fastest way to blow your bankroll is “chasing”—trying to win back a loss with a bigger, riskier bet. Do your homework: Trust the numbers over your gut. Spending just a few minutes on injury reports or recent stats usually beats a “hunch” that isn’t backed by facts. Stay level-headed: Don’t get overconfident after a win or desperate after a loss. The best bettors stay calm and stick to their plan regardless of how the last game went. Keep it fun: Remember, this is entertainment, not a job. If it starts feeling stressful or you’re betting money meant for bills, it’s time to take a break and walk away.New users must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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