In retrospect, we may look at November 4 as the turning point of Trump’s second term. On Election Day, Democrats romped to victory across the country. Since then, all Trump has done is lose big and melt down. He has lost control of congressional Republicans, been forced to walk back one of his signature issues, and watched his approval rating sink further. Americans increasingly loathe him. Even a Democratic capitulation on the government shutdown did nothing to stop Trump’s slide.
On Friday, one of this month’s big winners, Zohran Mamdani, the democratic socialist who was just elected mayor of New York City, will visit the White House. Trump will likely use the meeting as an attempt to get his mojo back, perhaps by berating the man he denigrates as a “Communist.” But Mamdani will also offer a sharp contrast to Trump: He’s young, dynamic, and very popular. Trump is none of those things.
When Democrats ended the government shutdown a week after the election—without securing an extension of the enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies—it seemed like they were throwing Trump a lifeline. The shutdown had worked for the party politically: Trump’s poll numbers, which had been steadily declining, shot downward, and the Democrats successfully turned the off-year election into a referendum on rising prices and a coming spike in Obamacare premiums. But even if Democrats momentarily relieved the pressure on Trump, it didn’t change his trajectory. He did not regain the momentum that he began the year with, and voters still despise him.
As all of this is happening, Trump has also been forced to walk back tariffs on agricultural products—a clear admission that his favorite economic policy is causing prices to rise. By cutting tariffs on coffee, beef, and other consumer goods, Trump is trying to alleviate inflation that he has made significantly worse by embracing a harebrained and antiquated economic scheme. But this likely won’t do enough to bring prices down to consumers’ satisfaction, since the prices were seen as too high even before he embarked on his tariff rampage.
On Thursday, he called for several Democrats to be tried for sedition and possibly executed over a video in which they simply called for members of the Armed Forces to follow the laws, and he retweeted a post in which one of his supporters suggested that the Democrats be hanged. It was a display that mirrored the darkest, most deranged moments of Trump’s first term—and one that suggests an ominous path as his presidency continues to self-destruct.
When Mamdani walks into the Oval Office on Friday, he will do so having won an election running on the exact same issue that Trump centered his campaign on a year ago: affordability. Unlike Trump, Mamdani actually wants to do something about it. Their meeting will only reinforce Trump’s failure to control costs—and, I suspect, will yield another Trump meltdown. Not only that, Mamdani will walk into office with something Trump once claimed, but which he has since squandered: a mandate. Most Americans view Trump as a catastrophic failure, and he has not even yet suffered the inevitable blows from next year’s midterm election. This lame duck will only get lamer and lamer.
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