The Missouri Tigers will be looking to snap a 2-game losing skid this Saturday at home when they welcome the Mississippi State Bulldogs to town for Senior Day in Columbia.
Mississippi State, on the other hand, will be looking to bounce back from its 41-21 loss to Georgia last Saturday in Athens and secure bowl eligibility for the first time since 2022 with a win over the Tigers.
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ESPN analyst Bill Connelly released his SP+ projection for this SEC matchup earlier in the week, and his model is predicting the Tigers handle business in their last home game of the season.
WEEK 12 SP+ PICKSBama 25, OU 24 Georgia 27, Texas 23ND 32, Pitt 24Duke 30, UVA 28USC 29, Iowa 24Utah 35, Baylor 22Louisville 29, Clemson 23Rebs 35, Gators 17BYU 30, TCU 23Full list: t.co/1UvCJdO4pY pic.twitter.com/epuSVxWH8M
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 9, 2025The SP+ is a predictive model that takes various stats and historical trends and uses them to both craft power rankings for ESPN as well as project the outcome of any given game from week to week.
According to Connelly’s model for Week 12, the Tigers are projected to defeat the Bulldogs on Senior Day by a final score of 33-22, securing their third straight campaign with at least 7 wins in the process.
This would also mark Mizzou’s second straight win over Mississippi State, as MU also defeated the Bulldogs in 2024 on the road in Starkville by a final score of 39-20.
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ESPN’s SP+ projects final score of Mississippi State vs. Mizzou Saturday Down South.
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