In our 2025 NFL Week 7 fantasy football analysis of the players you should start and sit, we let the data give another perspective that likely varies from the overall expert picks.
We’re officially one-third of the way through the NFL season.
I know, I know. Drafts feel like they were yesterday. The season can’t be 33% over!
While it’s certainly possible to come back to make the playoffs after a 1-5 start (whether you’re the Baltimore Ravens or a fantasy manager who drafted Isiah Pacheco), a poor season to date can’t be waved with a dismissal of, “It’s early,” anymore.
Some players will rebound from poor performance in the first six weeks, and some will fade after a hot month and a half, but a large number of players will maintain their level of performance for the rest of the season.
Our job moving forward is to find the outliers. The players, be it for just a week or for the rest of the season, whose standing in the fantasy landscape will change dramatically.
Just as importantly, we have to realize that some of the players we drafted aren’t likely to rebound all the way to their initial projected value. And some of the players who looked like flukes for a few weeks might actually be as valuable.
Fantasy Football Week 7: Start ‘Em
Note: We’re comparing our rankings to the expert consensus rankings (ECR) from Fantasy Pros. These rankings update throughout the week (we pulled these numbers from Wednesday). Once again, we are using PPR unless noted otherwise.
QB Daniel Jones (IND) vs LAC (ECR: QB12, Our Rank: QB2, Projected Points: 18.16)
Jones was on the Yays list last week and did not disappoint, finishing as the QB4 with three total touchdowns and 212 passing yards. He didn’t quite live up to our projection as QB2, but was much closer to that than his expert consensus ranking of QB13.
One of Jones’ touchdowns was on the ground last week, giving him four rushing touchdowns on the season. That’s tied for second-most by a quarterback with Patrick Mahomes and just one shy of Jalen Hurts.
The calculus is basically the same this week. The experts don’t buy what Jones has done so far this year, but our projection model points to him continuing to be an elite option. It’s also worth noting that the Los Angeles Chargers have shown some cracks defensively of late after looking dominant to start the season.
They’ve allowed 27 points in back-to-back weeks. Play Jones with confidence again.
RB Rachaad White (TB) vs DET (ECR: RB14, Our Rank: RB7, Projected Points: 18.96)
This one is quite simple. When Bucky Irving misses games, White gets a lot of action.
Over the past two weeks, White is tied for 11th in carries and tied for seventh in catchers. He’s one of three players with at least three rushing touchdowns in the past two weeks.
Irving has already been ruled out again, so the same principles apply. The Detroit Lions have scored 30 or more points in four of six games this year and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored at least 29 points in three of their last four.
There could be a lot of points in this game, which would give White plenty of opportunities to get in the end zone once again.
WR Romeo Doubs (GB) vs ARI (ECR: WR29, Our Rank: WR16, Projected Points: 12.66)
It can be hard to figure out where the targets are going in the Green Bay Packers offense, but Doubs has quietly snatched up a lot of them lately. He has 17 in the past two games, six more than any other player on the team.
He hasn’t reached 70 receiving yards yet in a game this season, but this could be the week to break that streak. The Arizona Cardinals allowed Calvin Ridley to amass 131 receiving yards against them just two weeks ago and they allow the fifth-most passing yards per game.
Start Doubs with confidence.
TE Zach Ertz (WAS) vs DAL (ECR: TE14, Our Rank: TE10, Projected Points: 9.14)
The gap between our ranking for Ertz and the consensus is only four spots, but it’s a crucial four spots for people deciding which tight end to stream.
Like most tight ends of his fantasy standing, Ertz’s value is tied up in whether or not he can find the end zone. But he has a good chance this week.
If you haven’t heard, the Dallas Cowboys are awful defensively, having allowed the most receiving touchdowns in the league. That’s good news for Ertz, who is fresh off scoring his third touchdown of the season last week. He’s one of 10 tight ends with three TDs in the first six weeks.
If you need to stream a tight end, Ertz is your guy.
Fantasy Football Week 7: Sit ‘Em
RB Saquon Barkley (PHI) vs MIN (ECR: RB9, Our Rank: RB23, Projected Points: 12.68)
Just as our rankings have been consistently high on Daniel Jones, they’ve been consistently low on Barkley.
Barkley just isn’t having a good year. He’s 30th among qualified running backs in yards per carry. Unlike Christian McCaffrey, another running back struggling to gain yards on the ground, he’s not gaining an insane amount of receiving yards to make up for that (McCaffrey averages the most receiving yards among running backs at 74.0, while Barkley is 14th at 22.8).
Whether it’s to keep him fresh or to try and fix the offense, the Philadelphia Eagles might be giving Barkley fewer carries now, too. Barkley had at least 18 carries in each of his first four games; he has 18 combined over his last two. Game script was a factor, but volume was the only consistent point in Barkley’s favor so far this year and now that’s a risk too.
The Minnesota Vikings haven’t been great against the run, but they’ve been at the same level as the Cowboys (Barkley averaged 3.3 yards per carry against them) or New York Giants (Barkley had just 67 scrimmage yards against them last week).
You’re still likely starting Barkley, and perhaps this is the week he finally breaks out of his slump. Just don’t count on it.
WR Jameson Williams (DET) vs TB (ECR: WR31, Our Rank: WR41, Projected Points: 9.59)
Williams is a boom-or-bust fantasy player. After a boom last week (six catches for 66 yards and a touchdown), fantasy managers are probably eager to play him again.
Tread lightly. Williams still has just two weeks with more than 45 receiving yards this season to go with just two receiving touchdowns on the year.
We mentioned how the Buccaneers and Lions game could feature a lot of scoring. The Bucs pass defense has been below average this year, so that should be good for Williams, right? It’s not that simple.
If you divide Williams’ season into his three games against the teams that allow the most receiving yards per game (Cincinnati Bengals, Green Bay Packers and Baltimore Ravens) and the three teams that allow the fewest passing yards per game (Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns and Kansas City Chiefs), Williams has performed much better against the defenses allowing fewer points. He’s averaging 25.0 yards per game against the former trio and 71.3 against the latter trio.
Six games aren’t enough of a sample size to conclude anything of that nature, but it does seem like the Lions prefer to get the ball quickly to Amon-Ra St. Brown when it’s easy to do so and use Williams for his great blocking more than his downfield receiving skills.
There’s always a risk Williams could go off on your bench, but he’s better left there this week.
TE Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) vs MIA (ECR: TE11, Our Rank: TE24, Projected Points: 6.83)
Fannin Jr. is another player who had been struggling before going off last week. From Weeks 3-5, he averaged just three catches and 20.67 yards per game. In Week 6, he had seven catches for 81 yards.
It was his second game with at least 50 receiving yards this season, and the games have something in common. In Week 1 (when he had seven catches for 63 yards), Joe Flacco had 45 pass attempts. Last week, Dillon Gabriel had 52.
That kind of game script likely isn’t in the cards against the Miami Dolphins. The Browns will do their best to get Quinshon Judkins going, and their tight ends might be doing more blocking than anything else. Making matters worse, the forecast doesn’t look good for the passing attack.
NEW: Dolphins-Browns game in Cleveland could have 50-60 mph wind gusts.The National Weather Service says this is “certainly a system worth keeping an eye on” as a stronger storm may materialize. The current forecast: 94% chance of rain, 36 mph gusts, and 65 degrees.
— Andy Slater (@AndySlater) October 16, 2025Pivot to a different player as your streaming tight end this week.
Didn’t see the names you were after? Be sure to check out our full Week 7 fantasy football projections. And follow along on Instagram, Bluesky, Facebook and X for more.
Fantasy Football Start ’Em, Sit ’Em: Our Week 7 Yays and Nays vs. Consensus Rankings Opta Analyst.
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