Can Mikel Arteta’s side continue to set the pace at the Premier League summit? We look ahead to Saturday’s clash with our Fulham vs Arsenal prediction and preview.
Fulham vs Arsenal: The Key Stats
The Opta supercomputer backed an Arsenal victory against Fulham in 56.7% of pre-match simulations. Fulham have lost both of their last two Premier League games, and could lose three in a row for the first time since December 2023. Arsenal have only lost one of their last 18 London derbies in the competition.Mikel Arteta will hope the international break has not distracted Arsenal from their early Premier League title pursuit, which they continue away to Fulham on Saturday.
Arsenal sit one point clear of Liverpool at the top-flight summit, having headed into the October internationals with back-to-back wins over Newcastle United and West Ham.
Declan Rice either scored (1) or assisted (1) in both of those wins. However, the midfielder has only had a hand in a goal in three successive appearances in the competition twice before (February/March 2024 and April/May 2024).
Rice will fancy adding to that record at Craven Cottage, though, given he has six goal involvements (2 goals, 4 assists) in his last seven away London derbies in the Premier League.
His form is in keeping with Arsenal’s own record in derby fixtures, the Gunners having lost just one of their last 18 league games against fellow London sides (W13 D4). That sole defeat came in a 1-0 loss against West Ham last February.
In fact, Arsenal have only lost one of their 18 away league matches against fellow London sides (W13 D4) since the start of 2022-23. That came in a 2-1 defeat at Fulham in December 2023.
Viktor Gyökeres was expected to take most of the attacking burden with his summer arrival, and injuries to Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz, but Arteta’s squad have shared the goals around so far.
No side has had more different scorers, excluding own goals, in this season’s competition than Arsenal’s nine (level with Brighton & Hove Albion). Only twice before have the Gunners had 10 different players score within their opening eight matches of a Premier League season, doing so in 2009-10 (10 in 4th game) and 2018-19 (8th).
They will likely have to share the attacking responsibilities once more at Craven Cottage, where both Martin Ødegaard and Noni Madueke will not feature. Madueke’s absence places further importance on Bukayo Saka, who will likely start, with Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard and Eberechi Eze vying for the two remaining spots behind Gyökeres.
That pace in attack has helped Arsenal have 14 counter-attacking phases of play in the Premier League this season – the most of any side. Last season, Arteta’s men ranked 17th for this metric, with just 47 in the whole campaign.
Piero Hincapié could, at least, return to the bench to add to an Arsenal backline that has restricted their opponents to fewer than 10 shots in all six of their Premier League games since allowing 22 shots against Manchester United on MD1.
The last side to face fewer than 10 shots in more successive matches in the competition was Liverpool from April to August 2022 (9). Arsenal themselves have never had a longer run on Opta’s records in the league since detailed data collection began in 2003-04.
The Premier League leaders must be cautious of a familiar face at the other end, however. Alex Iwobi, who left Arsenal in 2019, has made eight line-breaking passes into the opposition’s penalty area in the Premier League this season, with only Bruno Fernandes (9) making more.
Iwobi has also created four chances via line-breaking passes in the division this term, with Fernandes again the only player to do so more (5).
The Nigerian international has been forced into a more versatile role with the injuries to Rodrigo Muniz and Raúl Jiménez, though the Mexican could be passed fit in a late assessment of his groin injury before Saturday.
Jimenez’s return could be central to any turnaround for an out-of-form Fulham. They could lose three Premier League games in a row for the first time since December 2023 after defeats to Aston Villa and Bournemouth before the international break.
Marco Silva’s side have shipped three goals in both of those last two defeats, last conceding 3+ more times in a row in the competition in September 2020 (4). That run included a 3-0 home defeat to Arsenal.
Silva may take comfort from Fulham’s home form, though, given they have won both of their last two top-flight home games against Leeds United and Brentford. They last won three in a row at Craven Cottage in December 2023, while they could avoid defeat in each of their opening four home matches of a league season for the first time since 2011-12.
The hosts will be missing Kenny Tete, Sasa Lukic and Muniz in their bid to keep up that strong home record, however.
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Arsenal won on five successive league visits to Fulham between 2012-13 and 2022-13, but have since failed to win at Craven Cottage in both of the last two campaigns (D1 L1).
William Saliba‘s header cancelled out Jiménez’s opener in this exact fixture last season, though Arsenal have not failed to win more consecutive league visits to Fulham since a six-game run in the 1960s.
However, Fulham have only won one of their last 14 Premier League games against Arsenal (D4 L9), a 2-1 victory in December 2023.
They have also conceded at least once in each of their last 20 games against Arsenal in the competition.
Fulham vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal claimed a third consecutive league victory in 56.7% of 10,000 pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer.
Fulham managed a third straight home win in 21.5% of data-led sims, while the draw was rated at 21.8%.
Fulham vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Fulham: Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Ryan Sessegnon, Tom Cairney, Sander Berge, Harry Wilson, Emile Smith Rowe, Alex Iwobi, Josh King.
Head coach: Marco Silva
Arsenal: David Raya, Jurriën Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, Riccardo Calafiori, Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Eberechi Eze, Bukayo Saka, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyökeres.
Head coach: Mikel Arteta
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 10,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend at Craven Cottage, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Fulham vs Arsenal Prediction: Can Gunners Continue Strong Derby Record? Opta Analyst.
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