We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at Anfield with our Liverpool vs Everton prediction and preview. Can the Blues earn a rare win on the Reds’ patch?
Liverpool vs Everton: The Key Stats
Liverpool are rated as overwhelming favourites by the Opta supercomputer, which has given them a 71.7% chance of victory. Everton haven’t won at Anfield in front of supporters since 1999. Mohamed Salah needs two goals to become the top scorer in Premier League Merseyside derbies.Early kick-offs in the Premier League are sometimes sedate, but that probably won’t be the case when Liverpool host Everton at Anfield. There’s rarely a dull Merseyside derby.
With the Blues having started the campaign well, this could be their best chance for an away win over the Reds for quite some time, especially as Liverpool are yet to find their best form despite a perfect start to the campaign results wise. History is very much against Everton, though.
They won an Anfield derby behind closed doors in 2021, their only victory on enemy territory since 1999, but they haven’t even scored in the four visits since.
A sequence of three 2-0 wins for Liverpool was ended last season when the eventual champions had to settle for a single-goal victory. The winner proved to be the final goal scored by Diogo Jota before his tragic death in July.
That strike arrived in the 57th minute, and second-half goals have been a recurring feature of this fixture for Liverpool. Only one of the previous nine goals the Reds have scored at home against the Blues was in the first half. They also enjoyed a famous Divock Origi winner in the 96th minute in 2018.
These themes have been emphatically in play for Liverpool this season too. Seven of their nine Premier League goals have come in the second half of games, with five in the final 10 minutes.
Indeed, the Reds have more goals in the final 10 minutes of games than any other side (19) since the start of last season. Atlético Madrid were the latest team to fall foul of the Reds’ staying power, with Virgil van Dijk scoring a 92nd-minute winner against them on Wednesday in the UEFA Champions League. Late drama seems guaranteed for Liverpool at the moment.
They go into Saturday as the only team in the Premier League with four wins from four games in 2025-26. If they prevail, it will make this season the third in which they have taken 15 points from their first five Premier League matches. The previous occasions were in 2018-19 and 2019-20, campaigns in which they finished second with 97 points and top with 99 respectively.
They have let some leads slip recently, but Liverpool are yet to trail in any of their six matches in all competitions this season. They will keep a third consecutive clean sheet in the league for the first time since September 2024 if they hold Everton at bay.
The Reds have also scored 47 goals in their 21 home league games under Arne Slot. If Liverpool score three in this match, it would be the fifth-quickest any manager has seen 50 goals scored at home, and the quickest since Antonio Conte took just 18 games in 2016-17.
One of Liverpool’s 47 goals at home under Arne Slot was an own goal, so is not shown on the xG map.There are lots of stats that suggest a home win is likely, and David Moyes’ record is another. The Everton boss has never won a Premier League match at Anfield in 20 attempts. He will arrive on Saturday on a run of nine consecutive defeats at Liverpool, suffered with Manchester United (one), Sunderland (one), West Ham (six) and Everton (one).
But Moyes will also be bringing a side in improved form on the road. Everton have won six of their last 11 away Premier League matches (L3), as many as they’d won in their previous 30 combined. They won 3-2 at Wolves in their last away game thanks to some fantastic combinations among their attacking players.
Beto and Iliman Ndiaye scored at Molineux, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall claimed a goal and an assist. Jack Grealish continued the impressive start to his loan move by setting up two goals that day as well.
He and Ndiaye will be key to Everton’s hopes at Anfield. Only three players have completed more take-ons in the Premier League this season than they have. Grealish is second in the standings for chances created from open play, while only Bruno Guimarães (six) has won possession in the final third more often than Ndiaye (five).
Of course, Liverpool have in-form players of their own, plus record signing Alexander Isak may make his second appearance after playing almost an hour in the Champions League on Wednesday. Mohamed Salah has scored eight goals against Everton for Liverpool in the Premier League, second only to Steven Gerrard (with nine). The ‘Egyptian King’ has netted in two of the Reds’ three matches in all competitions at Anfield this season, too.
As Everton’s two injury absentees are defenders (Jarrad Branthwaite and Vitalii Mykolenko), Salah’s chances of making a decisive impact may be enhanced. Liverpool have been without Curtis Jones, but he is reportedly back in training, while Alexis Mac Allister and Isak are still having their minutes managed after disrupted pre-seasons.
Referee Darren England could be kept busy. Games between Liverpool and Everton have seen more red cards than any other fixture in Premier League history (25), with 11 of those being for the Toffees. But even an in-form Everton will find this match very tough if it stays 11 against 11.
Liverpool vs Everton
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Few derbies have been as one-sided in the 21st century as the Merseyside one has been.
Liverpool have lost just one of their last 28 home games against Everton in all competitions, winning 17 of those, including the last four. Not since the 1930s have the Reds won five consecutive Anfield clashes with the Blues, though.
Everton’s derby record isn’t much better even if we include Goodison Park games. They have won just two of their last 29 Premier League games against Liverpool, failing to score in five of the last seven.
They did, though, earn a dramatic late point against their rivals in the last Merseyside derby at Goodison Park last season when James Tarkowski scored a stoppage-time equaliser in a 2-2 draw. Liverpool won the reverse fixture 1-0 at Anfield a couple of months later.
Liverpool vs Everton Prediction
The Opta supercomputer believes there is a strong possibility of a home win in this game.
Liverpool won 71.7% of the 10,000 match simulations. If they fail to do so then it’s likelier to be a draw, which is rated as a 16.3% possibility. That leaves just a 12.1% chance for what would be a famous Everton win. Their record at Anfield suggests even that could be generous, though.
Liverpool vs Everton Predicted Lineups
Liverpool: Alisson, Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitiké.
Head Coach: Arne Slot
Everton: Jordan Pickford, Jake O’Brien, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, James Garner, Tim Iroegbunam, Idrissa Gueye, Iliman Ndiaye, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Jack Grealish, Beto.
Head Coach: David Moyes
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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