Sept Federal Reserve forecasts: Growth estimates bumped up and 2 more 2025 cuts coming ...Middle East

2025: 3.675% vs expected 3.875%, prior 3.875%

2027: 3.125% vs expected 3.125%, prior 3.375%

Longer run: vs expected 3.125%, prior 3.00%

PCE headline inflation

2026: 2.6% vs expected 2.4%, prior 2.4%

2028: 2.0% vs expected 2.0% (first forecast)

Core PCE

2026: 2.6% vs expected 2.6%, prior 2.4%

2028: 2.0% vs expected 2.2% (first forecast)

GDP growth

2026: 1.8% vs expected 1.6%, prior 1.6%

2028: 1.8% vs expected 1.8% (first forecast)

This is an upbeat forecast that highlights some resilience in consumer spending.

2025: 4.5% vs expected 4.5%, prior 4.5%

2027: 4.3% vs expected 4.4%, prior 4.4%

Longer run: 4.2% vs expected 4.2%, prior 4.2%

The Fed is showing some confidence in its ability to stop the bleeding the jobs market but history shows that when layoff start, they're tough to reverse.

This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

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