Labour MPs are now, for the first time, openly considering what would happen if they got rid of Keir Starmer as leader of the Labour Party and therefore Prime Minister. What was once unthinkable is now very much thinkable and indeed sayable to journalists after as little as half a pint.
Then, on Saturday, the far-right marched in London: Perhaps 100,000 thugs and malcontents gathering to watch Tommy Robinson and Elon Musk talk about violence on the streets of the UK. “Violence is coming,” Musk said, “you either fight back or you die”. It was a uniquely perilous moment in British political history.
It was a moment of silent horror, a sign that this Labour government could not rouse itself to criticise anti-immigrant sentiment, even when it was being expressed by figures like Robinson. It was an act of surrender.
Each day, the whispers therefore grew louder. Maybe Starmer’s just not up to it. Maybe he’s too politically empty, too lacking in principles, too incompetent, too uninspiring, too unlucky. Maybe a change of personnel would correct the damage.
The first issue with this solution is that it will not solve the underlying problem hurting Labour: the state of the economy. The basic fact is that the bond markets are at our throat. They are at the throat of many other countries too, but we simply do not have any room to manoeuvre. Rachel Reeves has increased spending by as much as she possibly could within a credible set of fiscal rules.
The second issue is that there is no obvious successor. Many people are pinning their hopes on Andy Burnham, who – it’s true – could make an exceptional prime minister. But the sequence of events which would lead him to that position is very difficult to imagine.
square IAN DUNT This Labour Government was supposed to be better. It isn't
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All of this would be taking place just over a year after Starmer had won a historic majority. It is now clear that he has proved much less impressive in the role than his admirers believed – myself included. But it would be an act of madness to remove him so soon after that result. It would recreate the worst years of Tory chaos and solipsism.
There is a practical immediate route to success. First, it involves taking the fight to the far right, rather than just echoing or placating them. Second, it involves competent government, delivering for people in a way the Tories failed to do and Reform never will.
Those who want this government to succeed would do better agitating for that approach than engaging in fantasies about leadership contests.
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